Saturday, September 12, 2009

Lessons from the world financial crisis

The collapse of Lehman triggered the world financial crisis this time last year. Stock markets crashed; credit was frozen and banks were scurrying for cash; crude oil prices dipped and gold prices shot up; investment shrank.

Finally, the financial crisis translated into recession with severe loss of employment and income. With the inter-linking of economies no country escaped these drastic consequences.

India was hit badly but avoided recession. Nevertheless growth dropped and is yet to recover. FIIs repatriated more than $13 billion and deepened the fall in stock prices.

Sensex plunged 62 per cent, much more than Dow Jones. The RBI had to draw down reserves. The rupee fell 20 per cent, industrial production declined and exports slumped.

Indian banks, except probably two, did not have exposure to sub-prime debt since they did not have much international business. Besides, the regulations of RBI did not permit excessive debt:equity ratio. Hence Indian banks were largely unaffected.

The international crisis prompted the Indian Government to act. That was more to avert recession than to back up the financial system.

Stimulus packages were introduced mainly aimed at increasing demand by reducing excise duties and increasing investment in infrastructure. The RBI did pump in liquidity with cuts in CRR, SLR, and the repo and reverse repo rates. Recovery has started but progress is slow.

There are lessons to learn from the crisis and new initiative to be taken.

First, with large infusion of cash by Federal Reserve, it is likely that the dollar will weaken in future against other currencies. RBI has a large part of its foreign exchange reserves in dollars and should therefore change the composition of reserves in favour of the euro and gold.

Second, although most banks are owned by Government, they should be financially sound on their own. Therefore the capital base of banks has to be sound and conform to the new Basel standards. Banks should be modernized and to attain economic size through mergers.

Third, financial supervision has to be strong. That also requires that there should be coordination among the concerned agencies like the RBI, fiscal authorities, Sebi, etc.

Fourth, regulation should go hand in hand with innovation of financial instruments. The financial crisis was to a large extent spurred by financial instruments like Collateralized debt obligations (CDO).

Fifth, RBI should keep constant watch on liquidity requirements. The financial system in the U.S. would have collapsed but for the timely release of cash by Federal Reserve. The measures taken by RBI were a little too late.

Sixth, Government should curb fiscal deficit to ease pressure on the market and continue to take steps to open up the economy, whether in respect of trade, convertibility of the rupee, external commercial borrowing and foreign investment, since the benefits would be much more than the safety of a closed system.

It appears that the worst is now over and the salvage operations are complete. It is time to reform the system to enable it function smoothly and efficiently under good supervision.


(You can e-mail Dinker H. Pai Panandiker at: dpanandiker@gmail.com)

Wednesday, September 2, 2009

MFs: Tackling a missing intermediary

There are several issues that are faced by investors when they are dealing with their mutual fund investments.

One of these relate to a disruption in the mode of receipt of services related to the investment. This happens when there is no existing distributor available to serve the investor. This is an important matter that has become a reality for several people and hence will need a clear strategy from the investor regarding the manner in which this will be tackled.

Developing situation

There are times when the investor is put in a strange situation. In most cases, investors use the help of distributors or other advisors for making their mutual fund investments.

The total assets of mutual funds at the end of July 2009 stood at nearly Rs 6.90 lakh crore and a very miniscule percentage of this involves direct investment by the investor. The process involved various types of services in the process of making the investment.

In several cases, there is a situation where the distributor no longer wants to serve the client or there might be a situation where the distributor even exits the business. In the last six months, there has been a sharp fall in the interest of investors.

During the period April - July 2009 for which figures are available the number of new schemes varied in the range of 4-6 a month impacting a major source of income for intermediaries. In such a situation, the investor finds that when it comes to solving some question, they have to look at some different option.

The easiest way is to look for another distributor and advisor and shift to this route, but now with additional payment required on the part of investors for using their services, there is an increasing bent towards going it alone. This can result in a sticky situation where the investor realises that there needs to be some steps for the purpose of ensuring that there is no disruption in the service that they receive.

Contact possible

In case of any situation, the investor has to understand that the mutual fund is the entity with which the entire investment is based. This remains the base entity with which all the details about the investment is available and hence the investor can ensure that they get any required information from the mutual fund itself.

This is the best source for ensuring that there is clarity about the entire situation and this will also provide options for ensuring the smooth continuation of activities. The data required for this purpose is the Folio Number that is present on all mutual fund statements. All the necessary details are available with the mutual fund, which can be retrieved.

There is the entire list of mutual funds that are available with the market regulator SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India) and the fund association AMFI (Association of Mutual Funds in India). There are around 35 mutual funds in operation at the end of July in the country.

Code

There is now no entry load that is present for making an investment into a mutual fund. This means that there is no expense that the investor has to worry about now as compared to the situation earlier when only direct investments did not have any entry load.

If the investor is careful and they take a look at the details on the mutual fund statement that they get then they will be able to see that there is a space where the code for the distributor is mentioned.

This means that the commission for the investment goes to that particular entity and they are the ones who will be servicing the investor. When it comes to the issue of ensuring that there is a direct investment that is made, then the investor would have to ensure that the space for the code is blank or that it is mentioned direct.

This will also ensure that there is no trail commission that is going to any entity, especially if the investor is direct. If the investor wants to check directly with the fund then various funds allow transaction through their own website and this includes funds like HDFC MF, Franklin Templeton MF, ICICI Pru MF among others.

Checking

There are two angles to the entire investment that they have. One of them relates to the investment that has already been made and hence this will have a separate situation because this is complete, but the requirement here deals with proper monitoring.

On the other hand, there is also the case of new investment and if this is done using a distributor then the investor will have to pay fees that are decided between the two parties. In case of a small distributor, this can be negotiated, so you might end up paying something like Rs 500 for a Rs 50,000 investment.

On the other hand, big players leave little room for bargain and the amount here is fixed like Rs 30 per transaction for systematic investment and so on. This is the reason why they need to be clear about the manner in which they are investing so the choices can be selected.

There can also be a direct interface that is set up between the mutual fund and the investor. This can be done through interacting through some center of the fund or through the transfer agent. Most major cities have these offices.

Another way in which the same situation can be set up is through the route of using the internet for the interactions. In this situation, the investor makes further investments as well as redemption and other changes through their login on the internet and hence there is some clarity available for them about the exact status of their investment.

Using either or all of these will help the investor meet their requirements.

Monday, August 24, 2009

SEBI NORMS - Indian mutual fund industry to revisit business model

The Rs7.2 trillion Indian mutual fund industry is revisiting its business model to be in sync with the new norms put in place by the capital market regulator, the Securities and Exchange Board of India, or Sebi.
India has 36 asset management companies (AMCs) and at least some of them are planning to start their own distribution business instead of selling funds through third-party distributors. Among other things, they plan to cut distributors' commission by 25-30 basis points (bps) and shift their focus from frequent churning of funds to managing money for the longer term.
One basis point is one-hundredth of a percentage point.

Sebi banned fund houses from charging investors an upfront fee of up to 2.25%, known as entry load, from 1 August.
That encouraged fund houses to fine-tune the exit load, or the penalty they charge investors on premature redemptions, from six months to three years. In other words, fund houses have forced the investor to lock in their investment for three years if they do not want to pay the exit load.

The exit load is currently capped at 1% of investment.

However, only retail investors are subjected to this and fund houses do not charge the exit load on any investment of Rs5 crore and above.

The plan was to use the exit load to take care of the commission paid to the distributors. The fund houses also announced a new incentive structure for distributors ranging between 0.5% and 1.25%.
JM financial Asset Management Pvt. Ltd is offering 1.25%, UTI Asset Management Ltd 1% and HDFC Asset Management Ltd 70 bps, one of the lowest in the industry.

However, this move has not gone down well with the market regulator. It has directed fund houses to bring parity in the exit load for all class of investors, irrespective of the amount of investment.

It also said fund houses should follow a uniform exit load structure for all plans within a scheme. Normally each mutual fund scheme has different plans catering to different classes of investors.

Finally, on Tuesday, Sebi asked the fund houses to limit the lock-in period to one year.
The three-year lock-in, planned by AMCs, would have covered a major portion of equity fund investments in the industry.

According to the industry lobby Association of Mutual Funds in India (Amfi), 57.23% of all the equity investments as of 31 March were less than two years old. The rest of the corpus was more than two years old, but Amfi does not specify the maturity profile.

According to Rajesh Krishnamoorthy, managing director of iFast Financial India Pvt. Ltd, a transaction intermediary, "a minuscule portion of assets would be more than three years old".

This means that had the lock-in period been kept at three years, almost the entire assets under management would have been subjected to the exit penalty. Only 20.33% of the equity assets managed by the industry were less than one-year-old on 31 March.

A majority of the sales in mutual funds come from thirdparty distributors. Some fund houses say the dependence on third-party distributors may decline gradually following the regulatory changes.

"The brokerage structure has to come down to adopt the new changes. The impact of the recent changes on distributors' commission could be 25-30 basis points across the industry," said Suresh Soni, chief investment officer at Deutsche Asset Management (India) Pvt. Ltd.

Waqar Naqvi, CEO, Taurus Asset Management Co. Ltd, said "Incentives for distributors will have to come down.
Each AMC will take a call based on its subscription-redemption ratio. It varies between 35% and 50%. This means roughly between 35% and 50% of the subscriptions into mutual funds get redeemed within the first one year." Subscription-redemption ratio is the proportion of investors withdrawing their investments. If the ratio is high, funds will pay a lower upfront commission.
Loyalty bonus Some fund houses say while reducing the incentives for distributors, a separate loyaltybased bonus programme could be started by the AMCs in order to encourage the distributors.

"The entire business model needs to be reworked to encourage the distributors, as their commissions are reduced by 25-30 bps. We may have to start loyalty-based bonus programmes for the distributors to encourage them to continue with fund distribution business and add more long-term investors to our customer base," said the chief marketing officer at an AMC, controlled by a large bank, who didn't want to be named.

As a part of the loyalty programme, a distributor will be paid a fixed commission every year as long as the investor stays invested in a scheme.
This could happen as early as next month.

"One way out could be (to) progressively increase the trail commission earned by the distributors--the longer the investor remains the higher trail the agent gets," said an executive whose fund house is currently offering a new fund.

The trail commission is paid to agents by fund houses at the end of the year based on the assets they helped bring in.

For instance, if the first year trail is 50 bps, it could be raised to 60 bps in the second year and 75 bps in the third.

"Although we cannot comment on specific changes that will be made in distributors' commission, we believe that even if margins fall, the volume is poised to increase as mutual fund loads have been relaxed for investors. We believe that margins will be compensated by volumes," said Sundeep Sikka, CEO, Reliance Capital Asset Management Ltd, which manages at least Rs1.08 trillion in assets.

"The trail commission is essential if the distributors need to be encouraged to sell. But if there is no penalty on exit, it makes more sense for the distributor to encourage the investor to sell the units and enter a new scheme," said Sanjay Sinha, CEO, DBS Chola Asset Management Ltd.

Others agree. "If something becomes cheaper the demand goes up," Soni of Deutsche Asset Management said. According to him, fund houses will revise their business model and work more on volumes rather than on margins.

"Some fund houses may shift their focus from thirdparty distribution channel and start their own distribution services and strengthen their physical and Internet banking channels," he added.

As of June, there were 91,671 agent distributors registered with Amfi. Most banks and 20-25 large national and regional distributors also sell MFs.

Saturday, August 22, 2009

Asset allocation for disciplined investing

There are no short cuts to investing and more often than not investors burn their fingers in trying to time the market. My advice therefore to all investors with long-term investment goals is to follow disciplined investing with a risk reward balance. It definitely pays.

We all know of the proverb "Don't put all your eggs in one basket", similarly investors should diversify investments across asset classes, markets, managers, tenor, etc. to achieve desired returns with lower risk at the portfolio level.

Diversification involves dividing an investment portfolio among different asset categories, such as equities, fixed income and alternate investments. The process of determining which mix of assets to hold in a portfolio varies from investor to investor and also on the investment objectives.

If the portfolio has the right allocation, it will be well on its way to deliver the investment goals (with an acceptable amount of risk factored in).

Therefore, before making any investments, investors should define an investment philosophy and assess their investment objective, risk profile and suitability.

Your investment objectives need to be set, based on factors such as personal wealth level, age, family circumstances, investment/financial goals, need for regular income streams, understanding of asset classes and risk reward payoffs, conventional versus alternate assets such as art, commodities, real estate.

Some other factors include loss bearing ability, past investment experience time horizon of the investment, liquidity needs, proportion of liquid net worth in a high risk/locked-in product, tax status, inflation and market outlook.

The asset allocation that works best for an investor will depend largely on the time horizon and his/her ability to tolerate risk. Investors should pay attention to structural considerations such as financial planning, trusts, insurance and annuities, and tax and liability management.

Once an investor has decided on the investment objective and risk profile, asset allocation would include all or most of the following considerations/steps:


• Document all the assumptions made

• Calculate rates of return, standard deviation and correlation between different asset classes

• Check for consistency of returns across economic cycles & time periods

• Select the asset mix that would optimize the risk reward payoff – minimum risk for the desired return

• Agree on the benchmarks to be used for comparing performance results and degree of tracking vs. benchmarks

• Decide if the investments are to be made on a staggered manner (in 3 to 4 installments), recommended in volatile markets

• Implement the desired asset allocation through best in class products based on net of tax expected returns

• Evaluate portfolio hedging options and cost

• Active versus Passive management

• Periodic review and rebalancing


Asset allocation has evolved over time. In its initial stages of evolution, this was a simple philosophy of spreading eggs across baskets to spread losses. It then moved to a more complicated mathematical model where the amount of allocation to be made to each asset class was made based on the risk-return framework and correlation between asset classes.

In its more modern form, asset allocation is a more forward looking exercise which lays significant importance to qualitative overlay. This qualitative overlay is derived from experts and it makes asset allocation a more relevant exercise in today’s time, than a traditional quant-based asset allocation.

This overlay can be in terms of analysis of geo-political events, macro economic indictors, market sentiment, or any other factor that cannot be captured by standard risk metrics such as standard deviation of an asset class.

With this evolution in the area of asset allocation, comes into play the role of Tactical Asset Allocation. Tactical Asset Allocation, to some, is essentially about market timing. To my mind, however, it is not market timing but is a dynamic strategy that actively adjusts a portfolio’s asset allocation by taking an informed call on the portfolio in reaction to or in anticipation of the certain trends.

While the importance of long term investments and therefore strategic asset allocation cannot be undermined, in today’s markets, tactical asset allocation, if followed with rigor can certainly deliver alpha (incremental returns) to an investor’s portfolio.

Once invested, one should periodically review and rebalance investments if required. Investors should have pre-defined Profit & Loss booking levels based on their profiles. These levels should be periodically reviewed and reset based on market outlook.

Investors should also maintain certain liquidity in the portfolio to take advantage of sudden opportunities. In addition, investors could consider maintaining separate trading and investment portfolios with different investment objectives.

With increasing globalization, complexity, volatility and lack of time and/or expertise, smart investors always engage professional investment advisors to manage their portfolios. Good Investment Advisors have developed the skill, insight, perspective, and common sense needed to recognize when assets and/or markets may be entering cyclical and secular turning point.

Finally the most crucial factor of disciplined investing - never get emotionally attached to your investments. There is no harm in booking profits and staying liquid. Markets will always give opportunities to make returns from investments in the future.

David M. Darst, Chief Investment Strategist at Morgan Stanley Smith Barney says, "Rather than attempting to time the market in a limited number of asset classes, asset allocation seeks, through diversification, to provide higher returns with lower risk over a sufficiently long time frame and to appropriately compensate the investor for bearing non-diversifiable volatility."

NRI Keen To Invest In Indian MF

Many non-resident Indians are keen to keep their Indian ties intact and invest in various avenues like mutual funds (MFs), fixed deposits, real estate and so on.One Of Well Known Financial advisories says, "Most of these people look to return to India finally. That is one of the reasons why they are keen to invest here."

Apart of emotional reasons, it also makes sense as the economy of India is growing at better rate than other countries in the current situation. A wealth manager with a bank says, "The chances of getting double digit returns abroad are limited. In India, you can always hope to get 8-10 percent returns. For example, Indian stock market has given even 100 percent returns till a few years ago, something one can never dream of in a developed country."

However, financial advisors caution NRIs that they have to be careful while listing the details at the time of investment. They should clearly mention their status, complete with relevant documents and details. Advisor offers an example of investing in MFs, "They should clearly mention in the application form that they are NRIs. They should also provide their overseas address. In case of fixed deposits, they should know the difference between various deposits like NRE account and NRO account. This is crucial because you can repatriate the income under NRO, while you can't do the same in NRE account."

The issue of relevant papers and documents is something that creeps up regularly in conversations with financial experts. They all insist that having relevant documents is a key factor. "Some investments may require the investor's status card abroad. If they are going for insurance cover, the company may ask for details like work permit in some cases. It can vary from company to company," says Financial Planner

ICICI Bank to come out with IPO in 4 units, insurance stake sale possible

Keen to revive its plans to unlock values in its four units, in line with the revival in the stock markets, ICICI Bank Ltd Friday said it could make initial public offerings in four subsidiaries or sell stake in its insurance ventures, as soon as the government raises sectoral foreign direct investment (FDI) limit.

The bank would take a call on the subject once the laws are amended to hike foreign direct investment in insurance sector to 49% from 26%, ICICI Bank chief executive and managing director Chanda Kochhar told reporters.

Earlier, in 2007, the bank was contemplating to list its three units—ICICI Securities, ICICI Prudential Life Insurance and ICICI Lombard General Insurance.

The bank had also announced its intention to transfer its entire holdings in ICICI Prudential Life Insurance, ICICI Lombard General Insurance Co, Prudential ICICI Asset Management Co and Prudential ICICI Trust to ICICI Holdings. At that moment, Reserve Bank of India had said it preferred to avoid an intermediate holding company structure, under which a bank is owned by a holding company that conducts non-banking businesses, because it would raise problems with regulation.
While pointing out that ICICI Bank's share price had increased three times in the last six months to about Rs750 per share, Kochar clarified that the listing of its unit would help in creating values for the stake holders. At this price, ICICI's market capitalisation is about Rs800 billion compared to market leader SBI's about Rs1.2 trillion.

"Still we are way off from the peak of over Rs1,450," she rued but said that she would strive to do everything to add value in the group for the shareholders.

"In all these four units, ICICI Prudential Life Ltd, ICICI Lombard Ltd, ICICI Securities Ltd and ICICI Home Finance Ltd possibility exists, but nothing that we have finalised currently. Hence, nothing you would see immediately," she said, when asked about the time frame she envisaged in terms of monetising investment in these entities.

She, however, was non-committal on any preferential treatment for its existing shareholders in the IPOs, saying they would anyway share the value unlocked from this exercise.

"As far as subsidiaries are concerned, over a period, we (will) clearly monetise some investment made in our subsidiaries. This means we would either do IPO or watch what happens on the insurance side that is clearance of government's norms to raise FDI cap for selling stake in the venture," Kochhar said.

A bill to increase FDI cap to 49% from 26 is awaiting the nod from the parliament. Currently, ICICI Bank holds 74% stake in both life and non-life venture insurance companies.

"In terms of IPO, we should wait for how the FDI cap issue turns out and then decide what percentage foreign partners will hold and so on. We will take a decision after that," she elaborated, but made it clear that time and market was not opportune for IPO in the life or general insurance ventures.

Pointing out that there was no need to take a decision on IPO in a hurry, she said the bank had enough capital and also the requirement of investible funds in these subsidiaries was very small this year.

"As I said we have enough capital to fund our growth but to fund growth of subsidiaries as well. And I think in the current market, it's not the best value and the right optimum value that they are going to get. I would rather wait for the market to reach a position where we get most optimum value and then look at," she added. – Yogesh Sapkale


source:-ww.suchetadalal.com

Reliance, HDFC MFs top Crisil ranking

Crisil's composite performance rankings (Crisl-CPR) saw Reliance Mutual Fund emerging as the most successful fund house for the first quarter, with their funds getting the maximum number of ranks (ten) in the top category of CPR 1.

HDFC Mutual Fund and ICICI (ICICIBANK.NS : 745.4 +25.85) Prudential Mutual Fund came up next with six CPR 1 ranks each, closely followed by Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund, DSP BlackRock Mutual Fund and UTI Mutual Fund with five CPR 1 ranks each.

For the quarter, Reliance MF showed a sharp improvement compared to the previous quarter ended March 2009, where the fund house received only four CPR 1 ranks.

According to Krishnan Sitaraman, director, Crisil FundServices, "Reliance Mutual Fund's strong performance was driven by its superior performance on risk adjusted returns as well as on portfolio related parameters in the equity, liquid and ultra short term debt categories."

For ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund, ICICI Prudential Income Plan and ICICI Prudential Short Term Plan came out strong on risk adjusted returns while ICICI Prudential Flexible Income Plan Premium performed well on portfolio based parameters like liquidity and company concentration.

For HDFC Mutual Fund, its HDFC Top 200 Fund came on top based on risk adjusted returns, while the HDFC Cash Management Fund Savings Plan revealed consistent CPR performance and returns. HDFC Cash Management Fund Treasury Advantage Plan was another CPR 1 ranker which did well on risk based parameters like volatility, company concentration and asset size

Tuesday, August 18, 2009

Draft tax code – how does it affect you?

Last Week, The Finance Minister announced the draft tax code. In his budget announcement on July 6 he had promised to follow up with the draft code. Well its here, and some of the changes, as you might have already seen in the press, are the most substantial that have been suggested in over a generation. So how do these affect you?


Well, the simple answer is that right now these changes don’t affect you. Why?

First of all, this is a draft code and contains proposals. Different interested parties have been invited to give their views, comments and feedback on the draft. You can too offer your feedback.

Secondly, if at all these proposals do pass muster, they will need to be drafted into a Parliamentary bill likely by end 2009 and be taken through legislative procedure. That itself could take time, and the Minister has suggested a start date of 2011 for when the code might actually be enforced, if it is a law by then.

So at the earliest, the impact of this tax code is likely two years away. So what should you be doing right now?

For starters just wait and watch. If you have strong views on some of the radical changes proposed, you should give your feedback here

Talk to your HR and payroll department to understand the impact of some of the proposed changes regarding how perquisites and benefits will be taxed. Ask them to explain to you how your take home pay might change and what they can do to mitigate the impact of any higher tax burden on you.

Sources:-www.reuters.in

Monday, August 17, 2009

L&T Finance NCD Issue open on August 18

NCD issue opens on L&T Finance open on August 18.

L&T Finance Ltd., promoted by engineering and construction giant Larsen & Toubro Ltd. and L&T Capital Holdings Ltd., will open on August 18, its first-ever public offer of 50,00,000 Secured Redeemable Non-Convertible Debentures (NCDs) of Rs.1,000 each. The NCD issue aggregates to Rs5bn, with an option to retain over-subscription up to Rs5bn for issuance of additional NCDs, aggregating up to a total of Rs10bn. The NCD issue with various investment options and yield on Redemption of up to 10.5% (per annum) opens on August 18, and closes on September 4.

TheNCDs offered through the prospectus are proposed to be listed on National Stock Exchange of India (NSE). The face value of Rs1,000 per NCD and tradable lot size of 1 NCD is expected to enhance liquidity and trading in the secondary market.

The NCDs have been rated ‘CARE AA+’ by CARE and ‘LAA+’ by ICRA. Instruments with a rating of ‘CARE AA+’ by CARE are considered to offer high safety for timely servicing of debt obligations. Such instruments carry very low credit risk. The rating of ‘LAA+’ by ICRA indicates high-credit-quality and the rated instrument carries low credit risk.

There are four investment options:

Option 1 (Quarterly interest payment): The face value is Rs. 1,000 and the minimum application is Rs. 10,000 (Retail) and Rs. 1,01,000 (NIIs and QIBs) and in multiples of Rs. 1,000 therein. The redemption date or maturity period is 60 months. from the deemed date of allotment. The coupon rate is 9.51% p.a. and the annualized yield is 9.85%. The interest payment is quarterly and the face value plus any interest that may have accrued is payable on redemption.

Option 1I (Semi-annual interest payment): The face value is Rs. 1,000 and the minimum application is Rs. 10,000 (Retail) and Rs. 1,01,000 (NIIs and QIBs) and in multiples of Rs. 1,000 therein. The redemption date or maturity period is 60 months from the deemed date of allotment. The coupon rate is 9.62% p.a. and the annualized yield is 9.85%. The interest payment is semi-annual and the face value plus any interest that may have accrued is payable on redemption.

Option I1I (Cumulative interest payment): The face value is Rs. 1,000 and the minimum application is Rs. 10,000 (Retail) and Rs. 1,01,000 (NIIs and QIBs) and in multiples of Rs. 1,000 therein. The redemption date or maturity period is 88 months from the deemed date of allotment. The coupon rate is 9.95% compounded annually and the annualized yield is 9.95%. The interest payment is cumulative and Rs. 2,005 per NCD is payable on redemption.

Option IV (Semi-annual interest payment): The face value is Rs. 1,000 and the minimum application is Rs. 10,000 (Retail) and Rs. 1,01,000 (NIIs and QIBs) and in multiples of Rs. 1,000 therein. The redemption date or maturity period is 120 months from the deemed date of allotment. The coupon rate is 10.24% p.a. and the annualized yield is 10.50%. The interest payment is semi-annual and the face value plus any interest that may have accrued is payable on redemption.

Senior citizens, who are 65 or more years of age at any time during the financial year (FY) 2009-10, enjoy the special privilege to submit a self declaration in the prescribed Form 15H for non-deduction of tax at source in accordance with the provisions of section 197A (1C) of the I.T. Act even if the aggregate income credited or paid or likely to be credited or paid does not exceed the maximum amount not chargeable to tax; i.e., Rs. 225,000 for FY 2008-09 (proposed Rs. 240,000 from FY 2009-10).

L&T Finance was promoted by L&T and L&T Capital Holdings. The company was incorporated on November 22, 1994, as a public limited company under the Companies Act, 1956, to provide a range of financial services. L&T Finance began by financing the small and medium enterprises and later synergized with the opportunities provided by L&T ecosystem consisting of its subsidiaries and associates along with its large network of dealers, vendors, suppliers, clients, etc.

L&T Finance has now evolved into a multi-product asset backed finance company with a diversified corporate and retail portfolio. As on March 31, 2009, the company had an asset base of Rs521,864 lakhs. It has consistently made profits with its revenues for the year ending March 31, 2009, standing at Rs83,028 lakhs.

The funds raised through this issue will be used by the company for its various financing activities including lending and investments and for its business operations, including capital expenditure and working capital requirements.

Hang Seng Benchmark Exchange Traded Scheme Files Offer Document With SEBI

Benchmark Mutual Fund has filed an offer document with Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) to launch Hang Seng Benchmark Exchange Traded Scheme (Hang Seng BeES), an open-ended, exchange listed, index scheme tracking Hang Seng Index. The new fund offer (NFO) price for the scheme is Rs 10 per unit.
The investment objective of the scheme is to provide returns that, before expenses, closely correspond to the total returns of securities as represented by Hang Seng Index of Hang Seng Data Services Limited, by investing in the securities in the same proportion as in the Index.

The scheme offers only growth option.

The scheme will invest 90-100% in securities constituting Hang Seng Index and 0-10% in money market instruments, g-secs, bonds, debentures and cash at call. The exposure to the derivatives would be undertaken, when no equity shares of the constituents of the Index are available or equity shares are insufficient to take exposure in the constituents of the Index and would be restricted to 10% of the net assets of the scheme. The scheme shall also invest in derivatives traded on overseas exchanges only for hedging and portfolio balancing. The scheme shall invest in units of mutual fund scheme / overseas exchange traded funds based on Hang Seng Index upto 10% of the net assets of the Scheme. The margin paid for the derivative instruments will form part of the “Money Market Instruments, G-Secs, Bonds, Debentures, Debt instruments and cash at call” as mentioned in the asset allocation pattern.

The scheme will charge neither entry nor exit load.

Investors can invest under the scheme with a minimum investment amount of Rs. 10,000 (Rupees Ten Thousand only) and in multiples of Re.1 thereafter.

The scheme seeks to collect a minimum target amount of Rs. 1 crore during the NFO period.

The scheme's performance will be benchmarked against Hang Seng Index.

Vishal Jain will be the fund managers for Hang Seng Benchmark Exchange Traded Scheme

Friday, August 14, 2009

JP Morgan AMC Launches Investment Confidence Index

The J P Morgan Asset Managament-Valuenotes Investment Confidence Index, which will be published on a quarterly basis, captures the confidence of retail investors.

JPMorgan Asset Management India Pvt. Ltd. (JPMAMIPL) today announced the launch of the first Investment Confidence Index in India in association with ValueNotes. The J.P. Morgan Asset Management – ValueNotes Investment Confidence Index (ICI), which will be published on a quarterly basis, captures the confidence of retail investors, corporate investors and financial advisors on the Indian economic and investment environment. The findings of the inaugural survey show that the Indian financial community currently holds a cautiously optimistic view towards their local market.

ValueNotes, an independent market research company, was commissioned by J.P. Morgan Asset Management to conduct the survey. The ICI was developed by interviewing a random sample of retail investors (with a wallet size in excess of Rs 200,000), corporate investors and financial advisors. The survey took place in July 2009 in eight cities across India: Delhi/NCR, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai, Ahmedabad, Bengaluru, Hyderabad and Pune.

The key objective of the ICI is to quantify confidence in the investment environment among investors and advisors. The survey also attempts to study investment behaviour and sentiment based on key factors such as the improvement in the Indian and global economic environment, general investment atmosphere, expectation of growth in investment portfolios and others. Going forward, the ICI will map and analyse the short term and long term changes in investment behaviour and outlook every quarter, from an investor and distributor standpoint.

The J.P. Morgan Asset Management – Valuenotes Investment Confidence Index score is derived from responses to the following questions posed to all target segments:
1)The likelihood of the Indian economic situation improving from current levels in the next six months.
2)The likelihood of an improvement in the general investment market environment and atmosphere from current levels in the coming six months.
3)The possibility of the global economic environment improving from current levels in the coming six months.
4)The likelihood of the BSE Sensex increasing in the next six months.
5)The prospect of your / your clients’ investment portfolio appreciating in the coming six months.
6)Expected increase or decrease in the amount of investment and/or increase in mutual fund inflows in the coming six months.

Responses to these 6 questions also form the basis for arriving at the Retail Investor Confidence Index, Corporate Confidence Index and the Advisor Confidence Index which are sub-indices of the Investment Confidence Index. At any given point, the indices can move from ‘0’ to ‘200’, with ‘0’ depicting the most negative outlook; ‘200’ depicting full and absolute confidence and ‘100’ showing a neutral position.

Krishnamurthy Vijayan, Executive Chairman of J.P. Morgan Asset Management said, “We are extremely proud to present the J.P. Morgan Asset Management – ValueNotes Investment Confidence Index to the Indian investment community. Investment sentiment has always been a key focus in our business strategy across the globe. We have been monitoring retail investor sentiment closely within the major markets of Europe and Asia for some time by conducting investor confidence surveys since the early 1990s. The inaugural investor confidence index was launched in the UK, followed by Germany, France and other European countries. In Asia, a similar Investor Confidence Index has been launched by the firm in markets like Hong Kong, Japan and Taiwan and has been well received.”

Arun Jethmalani, Managing Director, ValueNotes commented, “The Indian economic prospects drive confidence across the board. A Government with a strong majority was viewed as the most positive economic signal. The Investment Confidence Index at the end of July 2009 stands at 135.9, arrived by taking an average of the Investor Confidence Index (highest at 138.3), Corporate Confidence Index (136.0) and the Advisor Confidence Index (133.5). A deeper study of the indices throws up a recurring theme across all three categories – consistently high levels of optimism on an improvement in the Indian economic situation. This is contrasted by a marked pessimism or significantly lower confidence on a global economic recovery.”

Key findings:
The recent election results have influenced investment confidence favourably, as investors and advisors alike have voted for a government mandated with a strong majority as the single most positive signal for the Indian economy today.
•48% of retail investors expect their income will increase and they will make additional investments over the next six months.
•Retail investors are more confident about making additional investments (136.4) than their advisors (132.1) expect them to.
•Advisors are significantly more optimistic about portfolio appreciation (146.8) than their retail clients (138.2).
•Among cities – Retail and IFA confidence in Chennai is the highest at 160.2 and 147.3 respectively. In contrast, retail confidence in Hyderabad is lowest at 98.1 and IFA confidence is the lowest in Kolkata at 125.7.
•Retail investor confidence declines as age increases, with the age group 22 to 25 most confident (142.7) and investors aged 55 to 60 the least confident (131.3).
•By occupational status, the salaried employees from the private sector have the maximum confidence at 140.8.
•Retail investor responses indicate that investments in stocks and mutual funds increase with an increase in wallet size. While 37% of retail investors with wallet size between Rs 2 and 5 lakhs invested in stocks and mutual funds over the past 12 months, the figure increased to 79% for investors with wallet size Rs 50 lakhs and above.
•Both investors and advisors expect Sensex to be at 16,000 – 17,000 levels by December 2009. 76% of retail and 88% of advisors expect Sensex to rise from current (survey) levels.
•70% of corporates expect improvement in profits and employment opportunities.
•Half the corporates surveyed believe that the Indian rupee is likely to appreciate in the next six months while 76% of respondents expect interest rates to move upwards.
•36% of corporate respondents expect RBI to intervene in the medium term to reduce liquidity in 6-12 months while 44% believe that the NPAs can be expected to increase.

Bharti topples Reliance Ind as top fund bet

Leading mobile operator Bharti Airtel replaced Reliance Industries as the most preferred stock of domestic fund managers in July, becoming the only company to topple the dominance of the country's most valuable firm since at least December 2006.

"Bharti, as a consumption play, appears to be far more attractive to funds than a commodity play," said Sanjay Sinha, chief executive of DBS Cholamandalam Asset Management.

Bharti has a market value of about $33 billion, making it India's fourth-most valuable firm. Reliance is worth $66 billion, making it the country's largest firm by market cap.

As many as 273 funds collectively held 116 million shares of the cellular operator at July-end and 15 funds introduced the stock in their portfolios during the month, according to data from fund tracker ICRA Online.

By comparison, 270 funds held stakes in Reliance Industries, controlled by billionaire Mukesh Ambani, with at least seven dumping the firm -- which posted a larger-than-expected drop in June quarter net profit and is locked in a legal battle with Reliance Natural Resources, run by estranged younger brother Anil Ambani, over a gas-sales pact.

Bharti unseated Reliance Industries even though its shares have fallen 3.8 percent since it announced in May that it had renewed merger talks with South African peer MTN, nearly a year after the companies' prior talks fell through.

Bharti -- more than 30 percent owned by Southeast Asia's top phone firm Singapore Telecommunications -- has consistently added about 2.8 million subscribers a month, leading growth in an increasingly competitive space where rivals such as Vodafone have expanded networks rapidly.

Firms such as ICICI Prudential Asset Management, IDFC Mutual Fund, ING Investment Management and Principal Pnb Asset Management added Bharti stock to their portfolios, while Canara Robeco and DSP BlackRock dumped Reliance Industries from at least one of their fund's portfolios.

Bharti shares rose 2.4 percent in July, compared with an 8 percent rise in the broader market, while Reliance shares lost 3.3 percent.

Tough times ahead for mutual funds

India's mutual fund industry has been the cynosure of all eyes for the past several weeks. After capital market regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) announced a ban on entry load from August 1 and declared parity among all classes of unit-holders while charging exit load, experts believe mutual fund sales in the Indian market will not be the same as before. Several asset management companies, which run mutual funds, are slowing new fund offers (NFOs) following the ban on entry load.

Before the ban on entry load, investors paid an entry load of 2 to 2.25% at the time of investing which covered the asset management companies' selling and distribution expenses, commission to distributors. Now, an investor will receive units for the entire amount invested in schemes. They can now decide the commission payable to distributors in accordance with the level of service. Earlier, several fund houses paid an upfront commission to distributors to sell their products. Sebi's new proposals allow investors to directly make payments to distributors for their services, instead of mutual fund houses deducting them from the investment amount.

Post October crises many fund houses stayed away from launching the fund. However, Reliance Mutual Fund mobbed up around Rs 2,350 crore in their Reliance Infrastructure fund, which was launched in the month of May, 2009. While ICICI (ICICIBANK.NS : 748.25 -8.95) Prudential target fund collected Rs 800 crore, which was started on April, 2009.

Dhirendra Kumar, chief executive officer of Valueresearch Online, said, "Earlier, fund houses used to pass the entry load to the distributor, but now with ban we will see less number of NFOs. Not that there will be no NFOs, but the number will certainly come down in the next few months which will in turn hit the profitability of fund houses."

Sebi in its release also said, "The upfront commission to distributors shall be paid by the investor to the distributor directly. The distributors shall disclose the commission, trail or otherwise, received by them for different schemes which they are distributing or advising the investors."

Some market players feel that in the beginning the profitability of the fund houses is likely to take a hit, not only due to the ban on entry load, but also due to the increased spend on marketing, distribution and administrative expenses. Sundeep Sikka, CEO of Reliance Mutual Fund, says, "In the initial period, there are likely to be some problems (for the fund houses). But the regulator's move will certainly empower the investors and in the long run we can certainly make good amounts of profit."

Sebi earlier had mandated zero entry load in cases where investors apply directly for the schemes of mutual funds with effect from January 4, 2008, which received moderately good response with about 4%-5% mutual fund applications being made in this mode.

But with ban on entry load, distributions houses are likely to take a hit as some of the players believe that it will be very difficult to convince investor to pay a fee for the service given.

Sabapathy Iyer, CEO of JR Laddha Financial, a Mumbai-based distribution firm, says, "In a bull market there are chances that people will pay us but during a bear run, we fear the advisory fee will take a huge hit. It will take some more time for everything to settle down."

After the ban on entry load, several strategies were taken by different fund houses such as giving upfront commission to the distributors from their own pocket and increasing the exit load from one-three years from the earlier six months to one year. An exit load is a fee collected at the time an investor withdraws money from a fund.

According to one of the senior official from the leading fund house, "The main aim to increase the exit load was only to make up for losses from the ban on entry load. But now with Sebi bring the parity among all the classes of unit holders, we can't do much at that end." Until now, these firms typically charged up to 1% exit load for retail investors for premature redemption and big ticket investors who invested above Rs 5 crore did not have to pay any exit load.

Sebi in its circular dated August 7 said, "It is observed that mutual funds are making distinctions between the unit holders by charging differentials exit load based on amount of subscription. In order to have parity among all the classes of unit holder, it has now been decided that no distinction among unit holders should be made based on amount of subscription while charging the exit loads."

Market participants believe that this move will have more impact on the big ticket investors rather than retail investors. In fact now we might witness a separate new scheme floated for the institutional investors by the fund house.

"If a fund house come out with a scheme stating that, no entry load or exit load will be charged for the investors investing minimum Rs 2 crore or above that, then Sebi will not have any problem with that and fund houses can also save their clients," added Kumar.

He further states that, apart from that, some fund houses will reduce the existing load structure. While some might roll back the current lock-in period of three years. With the steps taken by the market regulator, the fund industry is likely to grow in the long term believes some of the players. Currently asset under management of fund houses stand at Rs 689,946 crore for the month of July, according to the association of mutual funds in India.

Thursday, August 13, 2009

Online mutual funds to gain from no-entry load norm

The no-entry load regime of Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has left mutual fund distributors with little choice but to increase their online presence. The immediate gainers from such a move would be the online platforms that provide mutual fund (MF) distribution services.

As Kanwar Vivek, CEO of Birla Sun Life Distribution Company put it, "Online platforms are likely to find favour with people looking at mutual fund route for investment." Such platforms have existed for some time, though their reach has been limited.

"At present, 90 per cent investors use distributor services to invest in mutual funds. Only 10 per cent use online services to invest directly," said Rajesh Krishnamoorthy, MD of iFAST Financial India.

"Servicing clients offline is an expensive proposition. Fund houses and distributors are showing interest in online platforms," said Bikramjit Sen, CEO of TechProcess Solutions, which makes online solutions for MFs.

The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) is planning a common industry platform, said Jaideep Bhattacharya, Chief Marketing Officer of UTI Mutual Fund and chairman of the AMFI panel on the Common Industry Platform

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Protect your investment and enter the market on Dip

GAUTAM PRASAD
During the month of March when I recommended my readers to enter the share market and buy large cap Mutual funds under SIP a few old friend of mine called me up and told me that they did not want to invest in such a dull and depressed market. I told advised them that the basic principal of investment is that when market was depressed get in so that you would be the first person to reap the benefit when market turns around. My friends were not convinced. They laughed at me and hung up.


However a few young readers thought what I did say was sensible and they mustered enough courage to enter the market when the Sensex was around 10,500 only. Today with in 120 days market has turn around and those who laughed at me called me up and again asked whether they can enter the market now. The sensex at present is flat at 15,500 . My old friends lost the opportunity but young readers gain handsomely.This has happened always. I replied to them to hold on to their money. There would be correction after some time It would be prudent to enter the market then. They asked me when the correction would start? I replied that it is impossible to pin point a date but it would be soon.


The most important trait is that investor must have patience accompanied by his risk taking capacity. Those investors who entered the market in the Month of March made 30% profit already. My advice to them was if you are chicken hearted then book the profit. If you are bold and brave then hold on. There would be correction soon but that would be followed by a gradual upturn and Sensex may go up to 17000 points by April 2010. At this point of time I would like to remind my readers that by 2010 June the Sensex would see a new high. So on every dip in the share market try to buy some share or the units of large cap mutual funds. Younger persons can buy 60% equity whereas Mid aged person should by 40% if they have risk taking capcity for longer years (atleast for five years)


One thing must be kept in mind that these are only calculated guess work. Nobody in the world , not even Warren Buffet , can predict exactly the behavior of Share market and consequently of the Mutual funds. The advisors and experts can hopefully wish but cannot predict. No science have been perfectly developed so far which can forecast the behavior of the share market. If such predications could have been possible there would not have been great depression in the world. During 2008 world was engulfed with recession despite the fact that this world have got highest number noble laureates in Economics and very large numbers of financial honchos who are rich and proud..


The Reserve Bank Governor conceded recently that Indian economy will revive faster than other countries of the world but it was not possible to predict a date. It is a fact that India would be the growth engine of the world economy sooner or later. So we need to keep patience and move ahead and invest in a determined manner. We need to ensure safety but agree to take a little calculated risk should money be made for future .However safety and prudence should be the watchword for economy would take time to revive.


It is absolutely necessary to switch investment in order to earn better returns. Some Mutual funds provides better return for a year or so and later fails to earn better returns. Once Magnum Global Fund and Prima Fund were darling of investors’ .Today, these are tired funds. Switching of fund provided better earning scope always. The investor must try to protect his investment all the time. Investor must reshuffle his investment from time to time periodically, in case he wants to maximize his return. Investing money is only first step in financial planning. The second step is the most important step and that is protection of invested money.


Investor must redeem his units in mutual fund as soon as he makes 30% return. The Golden rule of investment is that do not invest all your money in Share market or in Mutual fund. Any person desirous of investing money (other than in saving bank account) should invest adhering to the formula of “100 minus his age = % in equity.” So what should be done by small investors? The small investor must buy mutual fund only through Systematic investment plan for long term.. No investment should be done in lump sum. Another important thing before investment is done investors should consult a qualified investment advisor. Thirdly, investor should set an investment goal for himself and put in place an asset allocation strategy depending on the risk bearing capacity. You must invest in equity or equity link instrument if you are young. The older persons should be more cautious while investing in equity. No investment needs to be done in equity after seventy five.


Is this the time for investment? This is a million dollar question. I feel that there could be correction soon and our investors should not miss the opportunity to enter the market then. If some of the investors are seating now they can enter the market but through systematic investment plan in diversified mutual fund in the opportunity and infrastructure sectors. Do consult your advisor but decision needs to be taken by individually always.

Celent sees mutual fund assets at $500 bln by 2014

MUMBAI (Reuters) - Assets of mutual fund industry could surge to more than $500 billion by 2014 from about $150 billion now, helped by faster growth in profitable retail segment, consultant Celent said in a report on Wednesday.

Retail investors account for about 37 percent of the industry assets, while institutional investors contribute 56 percent. By comparison, retail contribution to fund assets in markets such as China is 70 percent and US is 86 percent.

Focus on institutional investors has led to poor distribution in smaller cities and rural India, but Celent forecasts retail segment to grow 35 percent annually for the next five years, driven by rising income and awareness of mutual fund products.

The institutional segment will grow by a quarter annually, driven mainly by the lack of alternative liquidity management instruments for corporates.

"The institutional segment will be the volume driver for the industry, while the retail segment drives profitability," Sreekrishna Sankar and Arin Ray said in the report.

They said profits as a percentage of assets under management for the industry dropped to 16.5 basis points in 2008 from 23 basis points in 2006 as the growth during the period was mainly led by relatively less profitable fixed income funds.

Even as assets surge, profits will remain at its present level mainly due to increasing cost on development of distribution channels and falling margins due to greater competition among the money managers, Celent said.

India's 36-member mutual funds industry has attracted the likes of Shinsei's, Italian bank UniCredit's Pioneer Global arm, France's Axa and South Korea's Mirae Asset in the last two years.

Allianz, UBS, Sanlam and Credit Agricole are among global firms looking to set up shop.

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Drought Risk Looms But GDP To Grow At 6% : FM

Mukherjee said the government was ready to manage a drought and a contingency plan was also in place.

More than a quarter of India's districts are facing the threat of drought and the sowing of crops nationally is 20 percent lower than in the previous year, Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said on Tuesday.

While many of these districts are not major crop producers, the minister's statement underscored growing government concern that a weak monsoon could reduce output of crops like rice and dampen economic growth already hit by a global recession.

After the driest June in 83 years, the annual rains have been more than a quarter below below normal this season.

The minister said he expected the economy to expand more than 6 percent in 2009/10, in line with the central bank's outlook, although some private economists have warned that the risk is to the downside given the poor monsoon performance.

"Monsoon situation is still erratic," Mukherjee told reporters. "One hundred and sixty one districts have been declared drought prone. So far as sowing is concerned, 20 percent would be down," he said. India has 604 districts. He did not specify the drought-prone districts.

The rain deficit since June 1 worsened to 28 percent at the weekend, raising fears that the season may turn out to be as bad as 2004 when summer crop output fell 12 percent after a drought. GDP fell to 7.5 percent that fiscal year from 8.5 percent in the previous year.

The rains are vital for sugarcane, oilseeds and other crops, although the impact has been more severe for certain crops -- particularly rice -- than for many others. A feared shortfall in the sugar harvest has lifted global prices to near record highs.

Mukherjee said the government was ready to manage a drought and a contingency plan was also in place.

"Of course, always there is a contingency plan," the minister said. "There is no point of pressing the panic button because you will go and start chanting drought, drought, drought and it will have an adverse impact," he said.

Among measures the government could take to mitigate the situation are to raise imports and curtail exports. It has already stepped up efforts to buy more sugar and has banned wheat exports and restricted rice shipments.

"Fortunately, Punjab and Haryana have extensively used the ground water. Bihar and certain other states, there are shortfalls," Mukherjee said.

Mukherjee was also confident that targets for direct tax receipts for the 2009/10 fiscal year would be surpassed.

GROWTH THREATENED

Asia's third largest economy expanded 6.7 percent in the last fiscal year, sharply lower than the 9 percent or more it grew in the previous three years, as the global economic crisis took a toll.

"It's still a budding recovery so the deficient monsoon has overshadowed the recovery process," said Rupa Rege Nitsure, chief economist at Bank of Baroda in Mumbai.

"Growth of around 6 percent is feasible despite the fact that monsoon has so far been deficient, but it being above 6.5 percent or in the range of 6.5 to 7 percent looks impossible," she said.

Last month, farm minister Sharad Pawar told the parliament that four states -- Manipur, Jharkahand, Assam and Uttar Pradesh -- declared drought in certain pockets. On Monday, the eastern state of Bihar also declared drought in 26 of 38 districts.

Other than Uttar Pradesh, which accounts of almost half of the country's sugarcane production, other drought-hit states do not make a significant contribution

www.reuters.in

M&M Enters Private Equity ; Forms Mahindra Partners

Anand Mahindra said that Mahindra Partners will look after new business opportunities for the group.

Diversified business group Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) is the latest business house to form an in-house private equity fund. The company will make proprietary investments from Mahindra Partners.

Anand Mahindra, Vice-Chairman and Managing Director of M&M told ET Now, a domestic business news channel that the new division will be the group’s growth driver in the future. The PE vertical is a ‘fairly significant change’ in the architecture of the group, Mahindra added.

He further stated that unlike conventional private equity, Mahindra Partners will be allowed more elbow room to scale up its start-ups and not pressured to get in and out of a business within a certain period of time.

From now on, Mahindra Partners will look after new business opportunities for the group and will determine whether there is enough potential to enter in or not.

R-ADAG, Aditya Birla group, Nicholas Piramal and Tatas have already tested the private equity waters.

M&M is part of a $ 6.7 billion conglomerate Mahindra Group. It has presence in sectors including automobiles, trade, automotive components, information technology, holidays, financial services, retail and logistics, engineering, steel and infrastructure development.

In the first quarter ended on June 30, 2009, Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd saw a growth of 26.3% in its gross revenue from its corresponding figure in the previous year. The revenue of the company stood at Rs4751.3 crore as against Rs3760.7 crore during the corresponding period last year.

The net profit before tax for the quarter was Rs 538.1 crore as against Rs213.4 crore in Q1 last year – a growth of 152.1%.

Source:-www.vccircle.com

Saturday, August 8, 2009

Market Sentiments Should Not Affect Investor Strategy

2009 has already been a year of two halves - the first quarter marked by pessimism and the subsequent by optimism.

From an investor perspective, neither of these are desirable states to base an investment decision.

It is important to have your long-term goals, ability to take risk and requirements of liquidity at the top of the pecking order at all times. This should lead to a serious thought on the appropriate asset allocation.

If this is the framework guiding your investment and is coupled with profit booking when valuation levels get outlandish, the odds are to move in your favour to meet long-term and short-term financial goals.

We have looked at the patterns of monthly inflows and outflows from different categories of mutual fund products across the industry over a ten-year period. There is high degree of correlation between the inflows and the market trend as well as outflows and the market trend.

The magnitude of the former is significantly higher than the latter in a bullish phase while that is not the case in bearish phases.


This indicates two aspects:

• A sizeable cross-section of investors appear to get interested in equity only in the later stages of a bull market.

• A section of investors appear to take profits as equities move towards peak levels, probably to avoid negative effects of deep declines.


Outflows assume a larger dimension only when a downturn gets more protracted. We hope to publish a detailed analysis in the next month or two as information is now available from the Association of Mutual Funds of India for a ten-year period.

What has been indicated is only from a first-cut analysis of the numbers.

Even this points to optimism and pessimism playing a major role in the manner most investors execute plans to deploy their savings. This is not, in our view, appropriate for investors from a long-term perspective.


(T P Raman is Managing Director, Sundaram BNP Paribas Asset Management. The opinions expressed are his own)

Sources:-Ww.REuters.in

Friday, August 7, 2009

Interview with Fund Managers-ING Investment Management India

INR to strengthen vis- a- vis the USD, says K Ramanathan, VP & Head-Fixed Income, ING Investment Management India. Excerpt:
What is your expectation on Indian Rupee movement over US$ over the next one month, one quarter, and the current fiscal. What factors do you feel will be responsible for such movement.

Going forward, we expect the INR to strengthen vis- a- vis the USD. The reasoning is simple; Increasing risk appetite will lead to increase in capital inflows into emerging markets including India. In addition, the global economic climate is only expected to improve. This would translate into a substantial increase in offshore business and lead to better export performance. This scenario offers corporates more incentive to sell USD INR spot/forward at current exchange rate levels.

Though the USD/INR exchange rates in the near term would fluctuate, a strong change in leadership at the centre is expected to be positive for long term capital inflows including FDI. The Balance of Payments (BOP) position is also estimated to become on account of recent oil discoveries and improved FII inflows.

On the contrary, we also need to factor in a couple of scenarios. Any northward crude oil price movement would mean more demand for the USD from oil companies and a stronger USD. And any slippage in global economic recovery would also enable a rally in favour of the USD.

Mutual Fund Investing - What To Avoid

The equity markets are on the rise. New fund offers are again the rage. And once again, you are receiving solicitations from your so-called financial advisors to invest in mutual funds so that you don’t miss the boat. At times like these it's important to keep some tips in mind.


1. Invest in Funds backed by experienced Asset Management Companies and Asset Managers: If you had the choice, you’d probably go to an experienced doctor rather than someone fresh out of medical school. Same with mutual funds. Invest through an experienced asset management company and a fund manager, both of whom have operating and investment history in India.


2. Cheapest is not the best: This is probably the most common and silly mistake that investors make when investing in mutual funds. For some reason they think that a Rs 10 net asset value (NAV) is better than a Rs 20 existing fund of the same category and type because the former is cheaper.

What matters is the amount of money you are putting in. Rs 1 lakh put into a either fund will grow the same amount assuming that both funds invested in the same underlying securities. So, whether Rs 10 grows to Rs 12, a 20% increase, or Rs 20 goes to Rs 24, it’s the same thing.


3. Don’t invest in a new fund if a previous one of the same category exists: At the time of a new fund’s launch, there is a lot of hype created through advertising aimed at enticing you to invest.

However, there might be a fund of this type already existing, which might be a better option because it has had an operating history for a while, as well as proven risk management experience in that category. You are better off avoiding the new fund at launch and investing in the older fund of the same category.


4. Understand your risk appetite: Not all medicines are suited to all patients. Some patients can handle a higher dosage depending upon their age, their allergies, their size etc.

Similarly, not all mutual funds are meant for everyone. Before you invest blindly, understand the risks involved and evaluate whether you can handle the risks associated with the fund and its underlying exposure.


5. Build a strong foundation: Just like a house needs a strong foundation, so does your mutual fund portfolio. You need to make sure you have a safe and stable exposure to index funds, large cap diversified funds before you start exposing yourself to sector and industry specific funds, which are usually of a higher risk.


6. Be realistic about returns: Trees don’t grow to the sky, and neither do stock market returns. Be realistic about what returns you can expect. Your money is unlikely to double in the next two years through mutual funds, and don’t fall for the salesmanship of your advisor.


7. Give your money the chance to compound: By chopping and changing your portfolio and getting in and out of funds frequently you are disturbing the process of compounding and not giving your money the ability to grow. Be patient, even if in the short term a fund might not be doing well.

Tuesday, July 28, 2009

Mutual Fund Distribuots May Waive Off Brokerage For Samll Investors.

Firms want to avoid handling the low-value cheques they would have to collect if they charge small investors

Some mutual fund distribution companies, which predominantly cater to low-value retail investors, have decided not to charge for their services from customers beginning August. Even larger distributors, which handle a broader variety of clients including high net-worth investors and companies, have decided to keep a no-commission model open for smaller investors.


A July rule from capital markets regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India, or Sebi, does away with entry loads of up to 2.25% for investors and caps at 1% the portion of exit loads used for marketing expenses.
However, the new regulation, effective 1 August, has created a logistical logjam for distributors.
Earlier, the invested amount would go directly to the asset management company, which would deduct the commission and pass it on to the agent. Under the new regulation, if a person invests Rs1,000, distributors will need to collect a cheque of Rs25 as commission separately.
Rather than increase overhead costs by investing in technology, staff and other back-end services, and hoping for the customer to pay for it, some companies have decided to entirely do away with commissions for small, retail investors.
J. Rajagopalan, managing director, Bluechip Corporate Investment Centre Ltd, 90% of whose clientele is retail investors, says, “For a multi-location distribution house like us with 240 locations, managing back-office operations becomes a huge issue. We do not have the infrastructure to manage the flood of low-value cheques that will hit us if we implement the twin-cheque system. Internally, we have decided we will not charge investors from 1 August.”
Also, charging investors under the new environment is not going to be an easy task, said K. Venkitesh, national head (distribution), Geojit BNP Paribas Financial Services Ltd.
“Imagine buying a shirt for Rs600 and giving two cheques, one for the manufacturer for Rs450 and one for the shopkeeper for the remaining amount. This is the same thing. It is not going to be easy to convince the consumer what he is paying for,” he said.
New Delhi-based Bajaj Capital Ltd had also decided to forego a commission for low-value customers. “We don’t like charging the customer. If a person really wants only the transaction services and does not want any advisory or support services, we will not charge,” said joint managing director Sanjiv Bajaj.
However, he added that if a customer wanted services such as consolidated statements, portfolio advice, etc., he would have to pay for it.
Rajagopalan of Bluechip said the trail commission, which agents get from fund houses at the end of the year based on the assets they helped bring in, would help them cover costs of providing services to retail investors.
New distribution companies, however, have already started offering the no-commission model, saying that the new model will, in the long term, work to everyone’s benefit.
Chennai-based Wealth India Financial Services, has launched a free website where investors can buy and sell funds without paying any upfront charges.
“We decided to start a company that would be positioned to take advantage of this development,” said Srikanth Meenakshi, director, Wealth India Financial Services. “We launched FundsIndia.com, where retail investors could come (and) register, become investors and buy or sell mutual funds with no loads, no transaction fees for any amount.”
FundIndia has empanelled with 16 mutual funds and is in talks with more. It plans to have a country-wide online-only network without any regional sales points, a low-cost, scalable model that can be sustained with just the trail commission.
S. Raghunathan, head of Computer Age Management Services Pvt. Ltd, an industry veteran who has been associated with the mutual fund industry for at least three decades, said the new regulation would work out to be a “win-win” situation. “As we reduce distribution costs, more and more people will start gaining confidence and volumes will grow. As volumes grow, everybody can make enough money through the trail commissions.” He cites the example of the demat revolution that changed the face of the brokerage industry 15 years ago.
“When demat was first introduced, people had similar apprehensions. They thought life would become difficult for the brokers. But look at what has happened. Volumes have grown exponentially. I expect a similar result here also,” he said.
However, the no-commission model will not be the only model in operation. Distribution comes at a cost and someone will have to bear the cost if not the consumer, say some distributors.
While there is some expectation that fund houses will fray some of the costs, say experts, there is also the hope that this will lead to innovation in distribution models such as deep discount brokers, discount brokers, premium brokers and full advisories.

Friday, July 10, 2009

The Placebo Effect in Investing | Elliott Wave International

The Placebo Effect in Investing | Elliott Wave International

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With no entry load, MF distributors eye HNIs

With market regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) abolishing 'entry load' for investors from August 1 2009, several distributors have slightly altered plans to include high net-worth individuals (HNIs) in their targets rather than retail investors. With the ban on entry load or commission an investor pays while purchasing units of a mutual fund, the earnings of distributors will take a huge hit, and they would want to compensate for this by targeting HNIs.

According to mutual funds players, this will be the distributor strategy for at least the first few months starting August 1.

Distributors feel HNIs will provide appropriate remuneration for their advice, while it will take few months for retail investors to decipher with their distributor a 'non entry load' fee structure for advice rendered.

Kanwar Vivek, CEO of Birla Sun Life wealth management says, "The move to end the entry load structure is one of the ground-breaking events for the Indian mutual fund (MF) industry. We are planning several strategies that can attract investors after August 1. However, for the first few months, we will be targeting HNIs along with retail investors. We are also preparing what commission we can charge from retail investors, as this step has been taken to help retail investors investing in MF."

Last month, Sebi had banned entry load from August 1 in all the MF schemes. A senior official from one of the leading asset management companies (AMC) said, "This move will have a huge impact on the distributors and independent financial advisor (IFAs). However, we might not see any major New Fund Offer (NFO) in the coming months, due to this ban on entry load. It will take at least a year for things to settle, but in the long term, this can be very helpful for retail investors."

In the month of June, MF assets under management (AUM) stood at Rs 6,70,993.13 crore, a rise of 4.98% or Rs 31,863.31 crore compared to Rs 6,39,129.81 crore in May. Sebi has directed AMCs to carry a suitable 'disclosure' on application forms that upfront commission will be paid by investors directly to the distributors based on their assessment of various factors including the service rendered by the distributor.

On 'exit load' paid by investors, Sebi said that a maximum of 1% will be maintained in a separate account by mutual fund companies to pay commission to the distributors. It directed distributors to disclose all commissions payable to them for different competing schemes of various mutual funds.

Saturday, July 4, 2009

India Funds dominate world top-100 stock funds in Q2

MUMBAI (Reuters) - Fifty one India-focused funds were among the world's top 100 performing stock funds in the quarter to June as domestic shares leapt by nearly half, recording their biggest surge in 17 years, data from fund tracker Lipper showed.

They are led by those investing in shares of infrastructure firms, a favoured theme in Asia's third largest economy after the Congress-lead coalition won a strong mandate in April-May polls raising hopes for higher spending on roads, ports and bridges.

The Lipper's list of 29,942 world stock funds with a track record of at least a quarter showed India funds recording an average 50.45 percent jump in their net values in three months to June as compared to just over 18 percent gain for the fund group.

India funds were led by Naya Bharat Property Company fund, domiciled in the Isle of Man, which gave a return of nearly 135 percent, followed by JM Core 11 Fund, a concentrated 11-stock portfolio, which rose more than 100 percent.

"Stocks in India were spurred on by a steady diet of positive macro data and the strong victory of the incumbent Congress party in national elections mid-May" said Rajeev Baddepudi, a senior research analyst for ASEAN at Lipper.

Indian shares surged 49.3 percent during April-June, the fastest in Asia after Vietnam, on signs of economic recovery and hopes for market-friendly policies by the re-elected Congress-lead government.

The gain was the biggest rise for the benchmark in any quarter since it soared 124.5 percent in January-March in 1992 when Manmohan Singh, the then finance minister, kicked off reforms to open up the economy.


INFRASTRUCTURE

Hopes are high that Manmohan Singh, currently in his second-term as prime minister, would further open up the economy to foreign investment and remove policy bottlenecks.

This has led to sharper surge in shares of infrastructure firms, with capital goods stocks rising nearly twice as fast as the bechmark index in June quarter, lifting portfolio gains for funds primarily investing in the sector.

For instance, all top five Indian funds part of the Lipper's top-100 list are infrastructure or property funds.

Fund houses JM Financial Asset Management and Sundaram BNP Paribas Mutual Fund have four funds each in the list, while Benchmark, India's passive fund manager, DBS Cholamandalam, SBI (SBIN.NS : 1809.65 +50.2) Funds Management and Taurus Mutual Fund had three schemes each.


(For more news on Reuters Money click http://in.reuters.com/money)

Portfolio Management Under Sebi Scanner

The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi), after tightening the norms for the mutual fund industry, is now looking at portfolio management services. The market regulator will soon be coming out stricter and comprehensive guidelines for PMS.

According to a senior banker with a leading foreign bank that offers wealth management and portfolio management services, Sebi has been in dialogue with several service providers to get their views on making the services more transparent and investor-friendly. "We have been deliberating with the regulator and it should be coming out with guidelines in the coming few weeks," the executive said on the condition of anonymity.

Earlier, a senior Sebi official has mentioned the watchdog is indeed looking at all areas for making things transparent and investor-friendly. According to industry sources, there are several aspects that the regulator is looking at and one important aspect is the PMS fees.

There are no restrictions now on fees charged by service providers. However, since the market is competitive, rates remain reasonable. "But there are instances of fee structures changing with the market trend. During the boom of 2007-08, some charged atrocious fees, and there were also some handsome profit sharing agreements," says a Mumbai-based broker. Hence, the regulator is expected to cap the fees charged by portfolio managers.

This, however, might not go down well with the 229-odd portfolio managers registered with Sebi. But rthe regulator isn't much worried about that. "In 1992, when we had asked brokers to disclose the fees they charge to clients, there was an uproar, and trading closed for four days, however, they had to comply and things are much better now," said the Sebi official.

Generally, portfolio managers have three schemes, one where a flat fee of around 2% of the portfolio amount is charged, and the service provided includes investment advice at regular intervals and managing the portfolio. The second scheme includes a fixed fee and a profit-sharing scheme, the latter usually kicks in when a return over the government bond (risk-free return) rate is crossed. Then, there is the totally variable scheme where the manager charges a total variable fee structure based on profit sharing.

The first two are said to be the more popular, and the third variety usually gains ground when the market is booming and is offered to high-ticket clients.

The norms are also expected to cover the 'wealth management' area. There are no specific norms now for this burgeoning industry that has several service providers like banks, brokers, financial service firms and individuals. Sebi has applied to the finance ministry to extend the definition of the term 'securities' in the Sebi Act to several instruments, especially alternative investments like those in art and several structured products that usually beat the definition and thereby the Sebi purview. Wealth managers are known to offer such products to their clients and there is usually an issue in the valuation of these instruments, noted a banker. They don't want a Madoff- like situation happening in India where exotic products are peddled to wealthy clients under Ponzi schemes, he adds.

The market size of PMS is estimated to around Rs 1 lakh crore. Sebi has been tightening the PMS norms over the years. In May 2008, Sebi had increased the networth requirement for portfolio managers from Rs 50 lakh to Rs 2 crore and also asked the portfolio managers not to pool accounts of clients. Pooling of clients would mean portfolio managers becoming quasi-mutual funds, not giving customised services.

On June 23, 2009, Sebi clarified that there should be a clear segregation of each client's fund through proper and clear maintenance of back-office records. It also mentioned that portfolio managers were not allowed to use funds of one client for another client. Portfolio managers will also have to maintain an accounting system containing separate client-wise data for their funds and provide statement to their clients for such accounts at least every month. Importantly, managers will have to reconcile client-wise funds with the funds in their bank account every day.


Transparency drive

and#149;Sebi likely to set limits on fee charged by PMS providers

and#149;Guidelines may cover 'wealth managers' as well

and#149;Alternate assets like art, structured products under lens

and#149;Emphasis on reporting asset position and charges likely

and#149;Has already ordered separate client accounts and statement

Wednesday, July 1, 2009

No entry fee on Indian mutual funds from Aug 1-SEBI

Indian mutual funds can not levy any entry charge for investments from August 1, the Securities and Exchange Board of India said in a note late on Tuesday.

Funds could, however, levy an exit fee of up to 1 percent of the redemption amount to pay commissions to distributors and for marketing and selling expenses, it added.

The regulator said investors would pay any upfront charge to distributors directly based on his service. It also directed distributors to disclose commissions payable to them by fund houses.

Reliance Cap raises 23.5 bln rupees in infra fund

mutual fund manager Reliance Capital Asset Management has raised 23.5 billion rupees in a new equity fund, a top executive said, the highest collection by a stock fund, since at least March 2008.

Reliance Infrastructure Fund, which closed for initial subscription last month, tapped 436,000 investors from about 1,000 cities, chief executive Sundeep Sikka told Reuters.

The mop-up, more than the collective assets gathered by all the stock funds launched in the last 12 months, also makes the product the third biggest infrastrastructure mutual fund in India.

Infrastructure as an investment theme has gained favour in India following a strong mandate to a Congress-lead government in April-May polls.

Thursday, June 4, 2009

Sebi's Move On Reliance Infra. NFO Ad.

Thu, Jun 4 10:38 AM
Thu, Jun 4 10:38 AM

India's capital markets regulator has directed Reliance Capital Asset Managemnt to withdraw an advertisement for its newly-launched fund as it spends less time on risk warnings to investors than required.

In a notice late February last year, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) had asked fund firms to more than double the time they spent on risk warnings to investors in their radio and television commercials to five seconds.

However, the disc submitted by the firm shows the display and voiceover time of the warning in the advertisement for Reliance Infrastructure Fund is less than five seconds, the regulator said in a notice posted on its website late on Wednesday.

SEBI also said the firm took more time than the required seven days of opening of issue to submit the advertisement and has served a show cause notice to the firm.

Officials from Reliance Capital Asset Management could not be reached for comment immediately.



(For more news on Reuters Money click http://in.reuters.com/money)

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Stocks extend election rally; bond yields rise

MUMBAI (Reuters) - Stocks extended a stunning post-election rally to 20 percent in two days on Tuesday on expectations the ruling coalition's decisive victory will lead to more privatisations, financial sector reforms and increased infrastructure spending.

The rupee also extended gains to a five-month peak, driven by hopes foreign investors would keep buying stocks, but bonds backtracked as worries about how much money the new government would need checked optimism.

In choppy trade after Monday's 17.3 percent surge, the benchmark stock index opened at an 8-month high and then fell back, only to recover again to be up 2.1 percent at noon (0630 GMT).

Top infrastructure play L&T (LT.NS : 1343.15 +111.5) was the major gainer, adding another 14.5 percent to Monday's 25 percent jump, as investors thought it would benefit from a government drive to update the country's creaking infrastructure.

State-run firms such as State Bank of India (SBIN.NS : 1753.95 +177.4) and energy explorer ONGC (ONGC.NS : 995.7 +48.5) also extended Monday's sharp gains as traders bet that the Congress party-led coalition may sell stakes in the firms to help fund spending plans and a large budget deficit.

"From the equity perspective, near-term valuations have become rich and performance relative to other major Asian markets is now decidedly superior," Nomura analysts said in a note.

While the MSCI index of Asian markets excluding Japan has risen about 7.5 percent this month, the Indian market had soared by 25 percent through Monday in the same period.

The spurt brought gains for India's stock market to around 53 percent so far this year, bringing the main index back to levels last seen in early September 2008 before the collapse of Lehman Brotehrs send global markets into a tailspin.

Overall volume in Tuesday morning trade was heavy at about 400 million, close to the daily average so far this year.

Nomura advised caution after the market's jump, saying India's already large budget deficit and the global slowdown meant policy was unlikely to produce a sudden acceleration in growth.


REFORM WISH LIST

The Congress party was expected to appoint reformers to key positions, and analysts expect it to push ahead on stalled reforms that could boost flagging growth in Asia's third-biggest economy.

UBS expects foreign investment limits in the insurance and multi-brand retail sector to be raised, and Citigroup was looking for higher foreign direct investment limits in real estate and a speeding up of infrastructure project approvals.

Citigroup also expected stake sales of state assets in the banking and energy sector, along with some regulation changes.

Not all shares were up on Tuesday, with exporters feeling the pinch of the rupee's sharp gains. The currency has risen 5 percent since last Thursday and 10 percent from a record low hit in early March.

Leading tech sector firms Infosys (INFOSYS.BO : 1563.75 -206.1), Wipro (WIPRO.NS : 385.35 -31.6) and Tata Consultancy (TCS.NS : 669.75 -74.1), who earn most of their income overseas, led losses on worries the rupee's rise would hit their earnings.


YIELDS RISE

Bonds lost Monday's momentum after the central bank increased the size of two scheduled auctions this month to 150 billion ($3.2 billion) rupees each from 120 billion rupees.

Planned record government borrowing unsettled debt markets in February and March, and they remain vulnerable to any suggestion of increased bond issuances to fund the fiscal deficit.

The benchmark 10-year bond yield jumped 12 basis points to 6.43 percent in opening trades, but later trimmed the rise to eight basis points.

"We may briefly test 6.50 percent today, but unless supply fears materialise into fiscal profligacy, I don't see yields moving much higher, but the budget will be the decider," Churchil Bhatt, a bond dealer at ING Vysya Bank.

Five-year swap rates rose to 5.66/67 percent from Monday's close of 5.48/5.53.

The partially convertible rupee rose to five-month high of 47.27 as it extended Monday's 3.2 percent jump, but pared gains as importers bought dollars and traders worried the Reserve Bank may step in to check gains.

The rupee has ridden a revival in foreign flows into the stock market. Foreign funds have been net buyers of more than $4 billion of shares since mid-March.

Nomura sees the rupee strengthening to 46.5 by end 2009.

Three-month annualised dollar/rupee forwards eased to 3.30 percent from 3.34 percent at its previous close on hopes of soft interest rates. One-month rupee volatilities was at 14 percent, unchanged from last week.

FUND VIEW - Mutual fund managers term stx surge irrational

MUMBAI (Reuters) - A surge in Indian shares, that halted trade on Monday, has stunned fund managers who said the rise is unjustified and expecting immediate big bang reforms and a revival in the economy would be a mistake.

Following are the reactions from fund managers to a more than 17 percent spike in Indian shares on Monday:


SAMEER NARAYAN, HEAD-EQUITY, FORTIS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT:

"It is very difficult to say if it's justified. Yes, there is definitely some sort of stability. The outlook has improved at least on the stability aspect... but there are a lot things that need to get fixed in terms of the entire reform agenda.

"Right now, it is only expectations and hope. May be we might be pricing in far to early.

"Now valuations are almost 16 times of consensus earnings and no longer cheap.

TOP BETS: Financial and energy


SANJAY SINHA, CEO, DBS CHOLAMANDALAM ASSET MANAGEMENT:

"A rally like this seems to be suggesting that our fundamentals have improved. (It) is discounting what would be a situation 12-18 months down the line.

"In the private sector it will lead to much better investment climate. In the capital market it will be much more enthusiastic participation by all sections and on the global level the visibility of India as an investment destination will become even more bright and that should attract capital at affordable rate.

"If you are coming into the market please do not come with the perspective of a three-month, six-month."


PANKAJ TIBREWAL, FUND MANAGER, PRINCIPAL PNB MUTUAL FUND:

"Actually, fundamentally speaking, things will take its own sweet time. It's not that the government today is coming to power and tomorrow they will do some big bang reforms.

"Though markets run ahead in anticipation, after today's move, the market will start asking: what next?

"Probably a couple of weeks later you will start looking at what's happening globally.

"Flow will continue may be positively to India but you need to take it with a pinch of salt. Are we running too fast, too soon? I think that's the question you need to ask to yourself."

TOP BETS: Infrastructure, FDI related sectors such as aviation, telecom, insurance.


MANISH BHANDARI, FUND MANAGER, ING INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT:

"What you have to do is to look at all the bills that the Congress wanted to introduce, were debated and (the) Left had shut doors on. And insurance was one. Those are the things we will be watching carefully.

"I am worried about people's expectations, which are very high. We are slowing down. Don't see one month's frame."

TOP BETS: Capital market linked sectors, infrastructure


ANAND SHAH, HEAD-EQUITY, CANARA ROBECO ASSET MANAGEMENT:

"This is a bigger verdict than 1991. We haven't seen such a verdict and with Manmohan Singh at the helm, this much of a reaction is fair.

"Indian consumers continue to remain my bet. With a stable government consumption is only going to pick up.

"I am wary of IT and metals because the rupee has appreciated and when you have your domestic consumption story intact, why will you bet on a recovery in US?"


T.P. RAMAN, MANAGING DIRECTOR, SUNDARAM BNP PARIBAS ASSET MANAGEMENT:

"Now that the mandate is clear and the Congress has emerged as a very, very strong winner that it can have its say.

"Every person who is connected with the capital market will definitely feel bullish."

"Euphoric moments will probably stabilise and settle down. The direction of progress is well known, but then, what is important is the push and pace of progress has to be fast and now I think it can be safely assumed that the pace of the progress will be faster.

TOP BETS: Infrastructure, power

Mutual funds fail to cash in as markets hit circuit breaker

By Chirag Madia

Dalal Street on Monday had one of its finest day, however, the Indian Mutual Fund (MF) industry could not benefit from this rise, as they could not buy because trade was halted for the day after benchmark indices breached 20% circuit breaker. However, it has forced many fund managers to rework their strategies. It is now expected that funds would start actively participating in the markets, utilising their cash levels.

Despite domestic markets surging by over 17% and reaching to 14K levels, officials from the fund houses say that, they will start deploying the cash in the markets, which they were holding in various schemes, as they feel this is the right time to enter the enter the equity markets. And with the markets remaining closed for large part of Monday, the Association of Mutual Funds in India (Amfi) asked the fund houses to declare Monday, a non-business day for equity and hybrid schemes as many scrips were not traded during the day. On Monday, the 30-share Sensex (^BSESN : 14213.73 -70.48) of Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) closed the day at 14,284.21 points gaining 2,110.79 points or 17.34%. The broader SandP CNX Nifty (^NSEI : 4318.45 -4.7) of National Stock Exchange (NSE) added 651.50 points or 17.74% to end the day at 4,323.15 points.

Gopal Agrawal, head-equity at Mirae AMC said, "After the Congress led UPA coming back of power and equity bourses rising at this level, we think that people will start deploying the cash in the market. Now with UPA coming with clear majority, new government policies will be announced and in the coming days markets are likely to continue their upward journey." However, fund managers don't rule out that, in the long run global economy and inflows from the foreign institutional investors (FII) will shape up the domestic markets. An senior official from the leading broking house said, "The sudden surge in the markets were totally unexpected, we will start deploying the cash but only in the benchmark heavyweight as this upward rally does not change the earnings momentum path for the next few quarters. Similarly, the global environment is still in the process of limping back to normalcy."

Most of the fund managers were seen getting into emergency meetings to discuss the new development. "With the surge looking so strong on Monday there was a need to get together and rack our brains," he added.

Some MF players also stated that, cash will be deployed from the schemes which are holding cash of over 10%. Waqar Naqvi CEO of Taurus AMC said, "Since past few trading session we have slowly deployed our cash in the markets. In the coming days also we will continue deploying the cash in the markets. There are also strong chances that, markets are going to continue their rally and profit-booking will only take place after few weeks of trading." The trend that was observed in the markets was that overseas investors were net buyers and the domestic mutual funds were sellers in the past month.