Monday, August 17, 2009

L&T Finance NCD Issue open on August 18

NCD issue opens on L&T Finance open on August 18.

L&T Finance Ltd., promoted by engineering and construction giant Larsen & Toubro Ltd. and L&T Capital Holdings Ltd., will open on August 18, its first-ever public offer of 50,00,000 Secured Redeemable Non-Convertible Debentures (NCDs) of Rs.1,000 each. The NCD issue aggregates to Rs5bn, with an option to retain over-subscription up to Rs5bn for issuance of additional NCDs, aggregating up to a total of Rs10bn. The NCD issue with various investment options and yield on Redemption of up to 10.5% (per annum) opens on August 18, and closes on September 4.

TheNCDs offered through the prospectus are proposed to be listed on National Stock Exchange of India (NSE). The face value of Rs1,000 per NCD and tradable lot size of 1 NCD is expected to enhance liquidity and trading in the secondary market.

The NCDs have been rated ‘CARE AA+’ by CARE and ‘LAA+’ by ICRA. Instruments with a rating of ‘CARE AA+’ by CARE are considered to offer high safety for timely servicing of debt obligations. Such instruments carry very low credit risk. The rating of ‘LAA+’ by ICRA indicates high-credit-quality and the rated instrument carries low credit risk.

There are four investment options:

Option 1 (Quarterly interest payment): The face value is Rs. 1,000 and the minimum application is Rs. 10,000 (Retail) and Rs. 1,01,000 (NIIs and QIBs) and in multiples of Rs. 1,000 therein. The redemption date or maturity period is 60 months. from the deemed date of allotment. The coupon rate is 9.51% p.a. and the annualized yield is 9.85%. The interest payment is quarterly and the face value plus any interest that may have accrued is payable on redemption.

Option 1I (Semi-annual interest payment): The face value is Rs. 1,000 and the minimum application is Rs. 10,000 (Retail) and Rs. 1,01,000 (NIIs and QIBs) and in multiples of Rs. 1,000 therein. The redemption date or maturity period is 60 months from the deemed date of allotment. The coupon rate is 9.62% p.a. and the annualized yield is 9.85%. The interest payment is semi-annual and the face value plus any interest that may have accrued is payable on redemption.

Option I1I (Cumulative interest payment): The face value is Rs. 1,000 and the minimum application is Rs. 10,000 (Retail) and Rs. 1,01,000 (NIIs and QIBs) and in multiples of Rs. 1,000 therein. The redemption date or maturity period is 88 months from the deemed date of allotment. The coupon rate is 9.95% compounded annually and the annualized yield is 9.95%. The interest payment is cumulative and Rs. 2,005 per NCD is payable on redemption.

Option IV (Semi-annual interest payment): The face value is Rs. 1,000 and the minimum application is Rs. 10,000 (Retail) and Rs. 1,01,000 (NIIs and QIBs) and in multiples of Rs. 1,000 therein. The redemption date or maturity period is 120 months from the deemed date of allotment. The coupon rate is 10.24% p.a. and the annualized yield is 10.50%. The interest payment is semi-annual and the face value plus any interest that may have accrued is payable on redemption.

Senior citizens, who are 65 or more years of age at any time during the financial year (FY) 2009-10, enjoy the special privilege to submit a self declaration in the prescribed Form 15H for non-deduction of tax at source in accordance with the provisions of section 197A (1C) of the I.T. Act even if the aggregate income credited or paid or likely to be credited or paid does not exceed the maximum amount not chargeable to tax; i.e., Rs. 225,000 for FY 2008-09 (proposed Rs. 240,000 from FY 2009-10).

L&T Finance was promoted by L&T and L&T Capital Holdings. The company was incorporated on November 22, 1994, as a public limited company under the Companies Act, 1956, to provide a range of financial services. L&T Finance began by financing the small and medium enterprises and later synergized with the opportunities provided by L&T ecosystem consisting of its subsidiaries and associates along with its large network of dealers, vendors, suppliers, clients, etc.

L&T Finance has now evolved into a multi-product asset backed finance company with a diversified corporate and retail portfolio. As on March 31, 2009, the company had an asset base of Rs521,864 lakhs. It has consistently made profits with its revenues for the year ending March 31, 2009, standing at Rs83,028 lakhs.

The funds raised through this issue will be used by the company for its various financing activities including lending and investments and for its business operations, including capital expenditure and working capital requirements.

Hang Seng Benchmark Exchange Traded Scheme Files Offer Document With SEBI

Benchmark Mutual Fund has filed an offer document with Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) to launch Hang Seng Benchmark Exchange Traded Scheme (Hang Seng BeES), an open-ended, exchange listed, index scheme tracking Hang Seng Index. The new fund offer (NFO) price for the scheme is Rs 10 per unit.
The investment objective of the scheme is to provide returns that, before expenses, closely correspond to the total returns of securities as represented by Hang Seng Index of Hang Seng Data Services Limited, by investing in the securities in the same proportion as in the Index.

The scheme offers only growth option.

The scheme will invest 90-100% in securities constituting Hang Seng Index and 0-10% in money market instruments, g-secs, bonds, debentures and cash at call. The exposure to the derivatives would be undertaken, when no equity shares of the constituents of the Index are available or equity shares are insufficient to take exposure in the constituents of the Index and would be restricted to 10% of the net assets of the scheme. The scheme shall also invest in derivatives traded on overseas exchanges only for hedging and portfolio balancing. The scheme shall invest in units of mutual fund scheme / overseas exchange traded funds based on Hang Seng Index upto 10% of the net assets of the Scheme. The margin paid for the derivative instruments will form part of the “Money Market Instruments, G-Secs, Bonds, Debentures, Debt instruments and cash at call” as mentioned in the asset allocation pattern.

The scheme will charge neither entry nor exit load.

Investors can invest under the scheme with a minimum investment amount of Rs. 10,000 (Rupees Ten Thousand only) and in multiples of Re.1 thereafter.

The scheme seeks to collect a minimum target amount of Rs. 1 crore during the NFO period.

The scheme's performance will be benchmarked against Hang Seng Index.

Vishal Jain will be the fund managers for Hang Seng Benchmark Exchange Traded Scheme

Friday, August 14, 2009

JP Morgan AMC Launches Investment Confidence Index

The J P Morgan Asset Managament-Valuenotes Investment Confidence Index, which will be published on a quarterly basis, captures the confidence of retail investors.

JPMorgan Asset Management India Pvt. Ltd. (JPMAMIPL) today announced the launch of the first Investment Confidence Index in India in association with ValueNotes. The J.P. Morgan Asset Management – ValueNotes Investment Confidence Index (ICI), which will be published on a quarterly basis, captures the confidence of retail investors, corporate investors and financial advisors on the Indian economic and investment environment. The findings of the inaugural survey show that the Indian financial community currently holds a cautiously optimistic view towards their local market.

ValueNotes, an independent market research company, was commissioned by J.P. Morgan Asset Management to conduct the survey. The ICI was developed by interviewing a random sample of retail investors (with a wallet size in excess of Rs 200,000), corporate investors and financial advisors. The survey took place in July 2009 in eight cities across India: Delhi/NCR, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai, Ahmedabad, Bengaluru, Hyderabad and Pune.

The key objective of the ICI is to quantify confidence in the investment environment among investors and advisors. The survey also attempts to study investment behaviour and sentiment based on key factors such as the improvement in the Indian and global economic environment, general investment atmosphere, expectation of growth in investment portfolios and others. Going forward, the ICI will map and analyse the short term and long term changes in investment behaviour and outlook every quarter, from an investor and distributor standpoint.

The J.P. Morgan Asset Management – Valuenotes Investment Confidence Index score is derived from responses to the following questions posed to all target segments:
1)The likelihood of the Indian economic situation improving from current levels in the next six months.
2)The likelihood of an improvement in the general investment market environment and atmosphere from current levels in the coming six months.
3)The possibility of the global economic environment improving from current levels in the coming six months.
4)The likelihood of the BSE Sensex increasing in the next six months.
5)The prospect of your / your clients’ investment portfolio appreciating in the coming six months.
6)Expected increase or decrease in the amount of investment and/or increase in mutual fund inflows in the coming six months.

Responses to these 6 questions also form the basis for arriving at the Retail Investor Confidence Index, Corporate Confidence Index and the Advisor Confidence Index which are sub-indices of the Investment Confidence Index. At any given point, the indices can move from ‘0’ to ‘200’, with ‘0’ depicting the most negative outlook; ‘200’ depicting full and absolute confidence and ‘100’ showing a neutral position.

Krishnamurthy Vijayan, Executive Chairman of J.P. Morgan Asset Management said, “We are extremely proud to present the J.P. Morgan Asset Management – ValueNotes Investment Confidence Index to the Indian investment community. Investment sentiment has always been a key focus in our business strategy across the globe. We have been monitoring retail investor sentiment closely within the major markets of Europe and Asia for some time by conducting investor confidence surveys since the early 1990s. The inaugural investor confidence index was launched in the UK, followed by Germany, France and other European countries. In Asia, a similar Investor Confidence Index has been launched by the firm in markets like Hong Kong, Japan and Taiwan and has been well received.”

Arun Jethmalani, Managing Director, ValueNotes commented, “The Indian economic prospects drive confidence across the board. A Government with a strong majority was viewed as the most positive economic signal. The Investment Confidence Index at the end of July 2009 stands at 135.9, arrived by taking an average of the Investor Confidence Index (highest at 138.3), Corporate Confidence Index (136.0) and the Advisor Confidence Index (133.5). A deeper study of the indices throws up a recurring theme across all three categories – consistently high levels of optimism on an improvement in the Indian economic situation. This is contrasted by a marked pessimism or significantly lower confidence on a global economic recovery.”

Key findings:
The recent election results have influenced investment confidence favourably, as investors and advisors alike have voted for a government mandated with a strong majority as the single most positive signal for the Indian economy today.
•48% of retail investors expect their income will increase and they will make additional investments over the next six months.
•Retail investors are more confident about making additional investments (136.4) than their advisors (132.1) expect them to.
•Advisors are significantly more optimistic about portfolio appreciation (146.8) than their retail clients (138.2).
•Among cities – Retail and IFA confidence in Chennai is the highest at 160.2 and 147.3 respectively. In contrast, retail confidence in Hyderabad is lowest at 98.1 and IFA confidence is the lowest in Kolkata at 125.7.
•Retail investor confidence declines as age increases, with the age group 22 to 25 most confident (142.7) and investors aged 55 to 60 the least confident (131.3).
•By occupational status, the salaried employees from the private sector have the maximum confidence at 140.8.
•Retail investor responses indicate that investments in stocks and mutual funds increase with an increase in wallet size. While 37% of retail investors with wallet size between Rs 2 and 5 lakhs invested in stocks and mutual funds over the past 12 months, the figure increased to 79% for investors with wallet size Rs 50 lakhs and above.
•Both investors and advisors expect Sensex to be at 16,000 – 17,000 levels by December 2009. 76% of retail and 88% of advisors expect Sensex to rise from current (survey) levels.
•70% of corporates expect improvement in profits and employment opportunities.
•Half the corporates surveyed believe that the Indian rupee is likely to appreciate in the next six months while 76% of respondents expect interest rates to move upwards.
•36% of corporate respondents expect RBI to intervene in the medium term to reduce liquidity in 6-12 months while 44% believe that the NPAs can be expected to increase.

Bharti topples Reliance Ind as top fund bet

Leading mobile operator Bharti Airtel replaced Reliance Industries as the most preferred stock of domestic fund managers in July, becoming the only company to topple the dominance of the country's most valuable firm since at least December 2006.

"Bharti, as a consumption play, appears to be far more attractive to funds than a commodity play," said Sanjay Sinha, chief executive of DBS Cholamandalam Asset Management.

Bharti has a market value of about $33 billion, making it India's fourth-most valuable firm. Reliance is worth $66 billion, making it the country's largest firm by market cap.

As many as 273 funds collectively held 116 million shares of the cellular operator at July-end and 15 funds introduced the stock in their portfolios during the month, according to data from fund tracker ICRA Online.

By comparison, 270 funds held stakes in Reliance Industries, controlled by billionaire Mukesh Ambani, with at least seven dumping the firm -- which posted a larger-than-expected drop in June quarter net profit and is locked in a legal battle with Reliance Natural Resources, run by estranged younger brother Anil Ambani, over a gas-sales pact.

Bharti unseated Reliance Industries even though its shares have fallen 3.8 percent since it announced in May that it had renewed merger talks with South African peer MTN, nearly a year after the companies' prior talks fell through.

Bharti -- more than 30 percent owned by Southeast Asia's top phone firm Singapore Telecommunications -- has consistently added about 2.8 million subscribers a month, leading growth in an increasingly competitive space where rivals such as Vodafone have expanded networks rapidly.

Firms such as ICICI Prudential Asset Management, IDFC Mutual Fund, ING Investment Management and Principal Pnb Asset Management added Bharti stock to their portfolios, while Canara Robeco and DSP BlackRock dumped Reliance Industries from at least one of their fund's portfolios.

Bharti shares rose 2.4 percent in July, compared with an 8 percent rise in the broader market, while Reliance shares lost 3.3 percent.

Tough times ahead for mutual funds

India's mutual fund industry has been the cynosure of all eyes for the past several weeks. After capital market regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) announced a ban on entry load from August 1 and declared parity among all classes of unit-holders while charging exit load, experts believe mutual fund sales in the Indian market will not be the same as before. Several asset management companies, which run mutual funds, are slowing new fund offers (NFOs) following the ban on entry load.

Before the ban on entry load, investors paid an entry load of 2 to 2.25% at the time of investing which covered the asset management companies' selling and distribution expenses, commission to distributors. Now, an investor will receive units for the entire amount invested in schemes. They can now decide the commission payable to distributors in accordance with the level of service. Earlier, several fund houses paid an upfront commission to distributors to sell their products. Sebi's new proposals allow investors to directly make payments to distributors for their services, instead of mutual fund houses deducting them from the investment amount.

Post October crises many fund houses stayed away from launching the fund. However, Reliance Mutual Fund mobbed up around Rs 2,350 crore in their Reliance Infrastructure fund, which was launched in the month of May, 2009. While ICICI (ICICIBANK.NS : 748.25 -8.95) Prudential target fund collected Rs 800 crore, which was started on April, 2009.

Dhirendra Kumar, chief executive officer of Valueresearch Online, said, "Earlier, fund houses used to pass the entry load to the distributor, but now with ban we will see less number of NFOs. Not that there will be no NFOs, but the number will certainly come down in the next few months which will in turn hit the profitability of fund houses."

Sebi in its release also said, "The upfront commission to distributors shall be paid by the investor to the distributor directly. The distributors shall disclose the commission, trail or otherwise, received by them for different schemes which they are distributing or advising the investors."

Some market players feel that in the beginning the profitability of the fund houses is likely to take a hit, not only due to the ban on entry load, but also due to the increased spend on marketing, distribution and administrative expenses. Sundeep Sikka, CEO of Reliance Mutual Fund, says, "In the initial period, there are likely to be some problems (for the fund houses). But the regulator's move will certainly empower the investors and in the long run we can certainly make good amounts of profit."

Sebi earlier had mandated zero entry load in cases where investors apply directly for the schemes of mutual funds with effect from January 4, 2008, which received moderately good response with about 4%-5% mutual fund applications being made in this mode.

But with ban on entry load, distributions houses are likely to take a hit as some of the players believe that it will be very difficult to convince investor to pay a fee for the service given.

Sabapathy Iyer, CEO of JR Laddha Financial, a Mumbai-based distribution firm, says, "In a bull market there are chances that people will pay us but during a bear run, we fear the advisory fee will take a huge hit. It will take some more time for everything to settle down."

After the ban on entry load, several strategies were taken by different fund houses such as giving upfront commission to the distributors from their own pocket and increasing the exit load from one-three years from the earlier six months to one year. An exit load is a fee collected at the time an investor withdraws money from a fund.

According to one of the senior official from the leading fund house, "The main aim to increase the exit load was only to make up for losses from the ban on entry load. But now with Sebi bring the parity among all the classes of unit holders, we can't do much at that end." Until now, these firms typically charged up to 1% exit load for retail investors for premature redemption and big ticket investors who invested above Rs 5 crore did not have to pay any exit load.

Sebi in its circular dated August 7 said, "It is observed that mutual funds are making distinctions between the unit holders by charging differentials exit load based on amount of subscription. In order to have parity among all the classes of unit holder, it has now been decided that no distinction among unit holders should be made based on amount of subscription while charging the exit loads."

Market participants believe that this move will have more impact on the big ticket investors rather than retail investors. In fact now we might witness a separate new scheme floated for the institutional investors by the fund house.

"If a fund house come out with a scheme stating that, no entry load or exit load will be charged for the investors investing minimum Rs 2 crore or above that, then Sebi will not have any problem with that and fund houses can also save their clients," added Kumar.

He further states that, apart from that, some fund houses will reduce the existing load structure. While some might roll back the current lock-in period of three years. With the steps taken by the market regulator, the fund industry is likely to grow in the long term believes some of the players. Currently asset under management of fund houses stand at Rs 689,946 crore for the month of July, according to the association of mutual funds in India.

Thursday, August 13, 2009

Online mutual funds to gain from no-entry load norm

The no-entry load regime of Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has left mutual fund distributors with little choice but to increase their online presence. The immediate gainers from such a move would be the online platforms that provide mutual fund (MF) distribution services.

As Kanwar Vivek, CEO of Birla Sun Life Distribution Company put it, "Online platforms are likely to find favour with people looking at mutual fund route for investment." Such platforms have existed for some time, though their reach has been limited.

"At present, 90 per cent investors use distributor services to invest in mutual funds. Only 10 per cent use online services to invest directly," said Rajesh Krishnamoorthy, MD of iFAST Financial India.

"Servicing clients offline is an expensive proposition. Fund houses and distributors are showing interest in online platforms," said Bikramjit Sen, CEO of TechProcess Solutions, which makes online solutions for MFs.

The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) is planning a common industry platform, said Jaideep Bhattacharya, Chief Marketing Officer of UTI Mutual Fund and chairman of the AMFI panel on the Common Industry Platform

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Protect your investment and enter the market on Dip

GAUTAM PRASAD
During the month of March when I recommended my readers to enter the share market and buy large cap Mutual funds under SIP a few old friend of mine called me up and told me that they did not want to invest in such a dull and depressed market. I told advised them that the basic principal of investment is that when market was depressed get in so that you would be the first person to reap the benefit when market turns around. My friends were not convinced. They laughed at me and hung up.


However a few young readers thought what I did say was sensible and they mustered enough courage to enter the market when the Sensex was around 10,500 only. Today with in 120 days market has turn around and those who laughed at me called me up and again asked whether they can enter the market now. The sensex at present is flat at 15,500 . My old friends lost the opportunity but young readers gain handsomely.This has happened always. I replied to them to hold on to their money. There would be correction after some time It would be prudent to enter the market then. They asked me when the correction would start? I replied that it is impossible to pin point a date but it would be soon.


The most important trait is that investor must have patience accompanied by his risk taking capacity. Those investors who entered the market in the Month of March made 30% profit already. My advice to them was if you are chicken hearted then book the profit. If you are bold and brave then hold on. There would be correction soon but that would be followed by a gradual upturn and Sensex may go up to 17000 points by April 2010. At this point of time I would like to remind my readers that by 2010 June the Sensex would see a new high. So on every dip in the share market try to buy some share or the units of large cap mutual funds. Younger persons can buy 60% equity whereas Mid aged person should by 40% if they have risk taking capcity for longer years (atleast for five years)


One thing must be kept in mind that these are only calculated guess work. Nobody in the world , not even Warren Buffet , can predict exactly the behavior of Share market and consequently of the Mutual funds. The advisors and experts can hopefully wish but cannot predict. No science have been perfectly developed so far which can forecast the behavior of the share market. If such predications could have been possible there would not have been great depression in the world. During 2008 world was engulfed with recession despite the fact that this world have got highest number noble laureates in Economics and very large numbers of financial honchos who are rich and proud..


The Reserve Bank Governor conceded recently that Indian economy will revive faster than other countries of the world but it was not possible to predict a date. It is a fact that India would be the growth engine of the world economy sooner or later. So we need to keep patience and move ahead and invest in a determined manner. We need to ensure safety but agree to take a little calculated risk should money be made for future .However safety and prudence should be the watchword for economy would take time to revive.


It is absolutely necessary to switch investment in order to earn better returns. Some Mutual funds provides better return for a year or so and later fails to earn better returns. Once Magnum Global Fund and Prima Fund were darling of investors’ .Today, these are tired funds. Switching of fund provided better earning scope always. The investor must try to protect his investment all the time. Investor must reshuffle his investment from time to time periodically, in case he wants to maximize his return. Investing money is only first step in financial planning. The second step is the most important step and that is protection of invested money.


Investor must redeem his units in mutual fund as soon as he makes 30% return. The Golden rule of investment is that do not invest all your money in Share market or in Mutual fund. Any person desirous of investing money (other than in saving bank account) should invest adhering to the formula of “100 minus his age = % in equity.” So what should be done by small investors? The small investor must buy mutual fund only through Systematic investment plan for long term.. No investment should be done in lump sum. Another important thing before investment is done investors should consult a qualified investment advisor. Thirdly, investor should set an investment goal for himself and put in place an asset allocation strategy depending on the risk bearing capacity. You must invest in equity or equity link instrument if you are young. The older persons should be more cautious while investing in equity. No investment needs to be done in equity after seventy five.


Is this the time for investment? This is a million dollar question. I feel that there could be correction soon and our investors should not miss the opportunity to enter the market then. If some of the investors are seating now they can enter the market but through systematic investment plan in diversified mutual fund in the opportunity and infrastructure sectors. Do consult your advisor but decision needs to be taken by individually always.

Celent sees mutual fund assets at $500 bln by 2014

MUMBAI (Reuters) - Assets of mutual fund industry could surge to more than $500 billion by 2014 from about $150 billion now, helped by faster growth in profitable retail segment, consultant Celent said in a report on Wednesday.

Retail investors account for about 37 percent of the industry assets, while institutional investors contribute 56 percent. By comparison, retail contribution to fund assets in markets such as China is 70 percent and US is 86 percent.

Focus on institutional investors has led to poor distribution in smaller cities and rural India, but Celent forecasts retail segment to grow 35 percent annually for the next five years, driven by rising income and awareness of mutual fund products.

The institutional segment will grow by a quarter annually, driven mainly by the lack of alternative liquidity management instruments for corporates.

"The institutional segment will be the volume driver for the industry, while the retail segment drives profitability," Sreekrishna Sankar and Arin Ray said in the report.

They said profits as a percentage of assets under management for the industry dropped to 16.5 basis points in 2008 from 23 basis points in 2006 as the growth during the period was mainly led by relatively less profitable fixed income funds.

Even as assets surge, profits will remain at its present level mainly due to increasing cost on development of distribution channels and falling margins due to greater competition among the money managers, Celent said.

India's 36-member mutual funds industry has attracted the likes of Shinsei's, Italian bank UniCredit's Pioneer Global arm, France's Axa and South Korea's Mirae Asset in the last two years.

Allianz, UBS, Sanlam and Credit Agricole are among global firms looking to set up shop.

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Drought Risk Looms But GDP To Grow At 6% : FM

Mukherjee said the government was ready to manage a drought and a contingency plan was also in place.

More than a quarter of India's districts are facing the threat of drought and the sowing of crops nationally is 20 percent lower than in the previous year, Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said on Tuesday.

While many of these districts are not major crop producers, the minister's statement underscored growing government concern that a weak monsoon could reduce output of crops like rice and dampen economic growth already hit by a global recession.

After the driest June in 83 years, the annual rains have been more than a quarter below below normal this season.

The minister said he expected the economy to expand more than 6 percent in 2009/10, in line with the central bank's outlook, although some private economists have warned that the risk is to the downside given the poor monsoon performance.

"Monsoon situation is still erratic," Mukherjee told reporters. "One hundred and sixty one districts have been declared drought prone. So far as sowing is concerned, 20 percent would be down," he said. India has 604 districts. He did not specify the drought-prone districts.

The rain deficit since June 1 worsened to 28 percent at the weekend, raising fears that the season may turn out to be as bad as 2004 when summer crop output fell 12 percent after a drought. GDP fell to 7.5 percent that fiscal year from 8.5 percent in the previous year.

The rains are vital for sugarcane, oilseeds and other crops, although the impact has been more severe for certain crops -- particularly rice -- than for many others. A feared shortfall in the sugar harvest has lifted global prices to near record highs.

Mukherjee said the government was ready to manage a drought and a contingency plan was also in place.

"Of course, always there is a contingency plan," the minister said. "There is no point of pressing the panic button because you will go and start chanting drought, drought, drought and it will have an adverse impact," he said.

Among measures the government could take to mitigate the situation are to raise imports and curtail exports. It has already stepped up efforts to buy more sugar and has banned wheat exports and restricted rice shipments.

"Fortunately, Punjab and Haryana have extensively used the ground water. Bihar and certain other states, there are shortfalls," Mukherjee said.

Mukherjee was also confident that targets for direct tax receipts for the 2009/10 fiscal year would be surpassed.

GROWTH THREATENED

Asia's third largest economy expanded 6.7 percent in the last fiscal year, sharply lower than the 9 percent or more it grew in the previous three years, as the global economic crisis took a toll.

"It's still a budding recovery so the deficient monsoon has overshadowed the recovery process," said Rupa Rege Nitsure, chief economist at Bank of Baroda in Mumbai.

"Growth of around 6 percent is feasible despite the fact that monsoon has so far been deficient, but it being above 6.5 percent or in the range of 6.5 to 7 percent looks impossible," she said.

Last month, farm minister Sharad Pawar told the parliament that four states -- Manipur, Jharkahand, Assam and Uttar Pradesh -- declared drought in certain pockets. On Monday, the eastern state of Bihar also declared drought in 26 of 38 districts.

Other than Uttar Pradesh, which accounts of almost half of the country's sugarcane production, other drought-hit states do not make a significant contribution

www.reuters.in

M&M Enters Private Equity ; Forms Mahindra Partners

Anand Mahindra said that Mahindra Partners will look after new business opportunities for the group.

Diversified business group Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) is the latest business house to form an in-house private equity fund. The company will make proprietary investments from Mahindra Partners.

Anand Mahindra, Vice-Chairman and Managing Director of M&M told ET Now, a domestic business news channel that the new division will be the group’s growth driver in the future. The PE vertical is a ‘fairly significant change’ in the architecture of the group, Mahindra added.

He further stated that unlike conventional private equity, Mahindra Partners will be allowed more elbow room to scale up its start-ups and not pressured to get in and out of a business within a certain period of time.

From now on, Mahindra Partners will look after new business opportunities for the group and will determine whether there is enough potential to enter in or not.

R-ADAG, Aditya Birla group, Nicholas Piramal and Tatas have already tested the private equity waters.

M&M is part of a $ 6.7 billion conglomerate Mahindra Group. It has presence in sectors including automobiles, trade, automotive components, information technology, holidays, financial services, retail and logistics, engineering, steel and infrastructure development.

In the first quarter ended on June 30, 2009, Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd saw a growth of 26.3% in its gross revenue from its corresponding figure in the previous year. The revenue of the company stood at Rs4751.3 crore as against Rs3760.7 crore during the corresponding period last year.

The net profit before tax for the quarter was Rs 538.1 crore as against Rs213.4 crore in Q1 last year – a growth of 152.1%.

Source:-www.vccircle.com

Saturday, August 8, 2009

Market Sentiments Should Not Affect Investor Strategy

2009 has already been a year of two halves - the first quarter marked by pessimism and the subsequent by optimism.

From an investor perspective, neither of these are desirable states to base an investment decision.

It is important to have your long-term goals, ability to take risk and requirements of liquidity at the top of the pecking order at all times. This should lead to a serious thought on the appropriate asset allocation.

If this is the framework guiding your investment and is coupled with profit booking when valuation levels get outlandish, the odds are to move in your favour to meet long-term and short-term financial goals.

We have looked at the patterns of monthly inflows and outflows from different categories of mutual fund products across the industry over a ten-year period. There is high degree of correlation between the inflows and the market trend as well as outflows and the market trend.

The magnitude of the former is significantly higher than the latter in a bullish phase while that is not the case in bearish phases.


This indicates two aspects:

• A sizeable cross-section of investors appear to get interested in equity only in the later stages of a bull market.

• A section of investors appear to take profits as equities move towards peak levels, probably to avoid negative effects of deep declines.


Outflows assume a larger dimension only when a downturn gets more protracted. We hope to publish a detailed analysis in the next month or two as information is now available from the Association of Mutual Funds of India for a ten-year period.

What has been indicated is only from a first-cut analysis of the numbers.

Even this points to optimism and pessimism playing a major role in the manner most investors execute plans to deploy their savings. This is not, in our view, appropriate for investors from a long-term perspective.


(T P Raman is Managing Director, Sundaram BNP Paribas Asset Management. The opinions expressed are his own)

Sources:-Ww.REuters.in

Friday, August 7, 2009

Interview with Fund Managers-ING Investment Management India

INR to strengthen vis- a- vis the USD, says K Ramanathan, VP & Head-Fixed Income, ING Investment Management India. Excerpt:
What is your expectation on Indian Rupee movement over US$ over the next one month, one quarter, and the current fiscal. What factors do you feel will be responsible for such movement.

Going forward, we expect the INR to strengthen vis- a- vis the USD. The reasoning is simple; Increasing risk appetite will lead to increase in capital inflows into emerging markets including India. In addition, the global economic climate is only expected to improve. This would translate into a substantial increase in offshore business and lead to better export performance. This scenario offers corporates more incentive to sell USD INR spot/forward at current exchange rate levels.

Though the USD/INR exchange rates in the near term would fluctuate, a strong change in leadership at the centre is expected to be positive for long term capital inflows including FDI. The Balance of Payments (BOP) position is also estimated to become on account of recent oil discoveries and improved FII inflows.

On the contrary, we also need to factor in a couple of scenarios. Any northward crude oil price movement would mean more demand for the USD from oil companies and a stronger USD. And any slippage in global economic recovery would also enable a rally in favour of the USD.

Mutual Fund Investing - What To Avoid

The equity markets are on the rise. New fund offers are again the rage. And once again, you are receiving solicitations from your so-called financial advisors to invest in mutual funds so that you don’t miss the boat. At times like these it's important to keep some tips in mind.


1. Invest in Funds backed by experienced Asset Management Companies and Asset Managers: If you had the choice, you’d probably go to an experienced doctor rather than someone fresh out of medical school. Same with mutual funds. Invest through an experienced asset management company and a fund manager, both of whom have operating and investment history in India.


2. Cheapest is not the best: This is probably the most common and silly mistake that investors make when investing in mutual funds. For some reason they think that a Rs 10 net asset value (NAV) is better than a Rs 20 existing fund of the same category and type because the former is cheaper.

What matters is the amount of money you are putting in. Rs 1 lakh put into a either fund will grow the same amount assuming that both funds invested in the same underlying securities. So, whether Rs 10 grows to Rs 12, a 20% increase, or Rs 20 goes to Rs 24, it’s the same thing.


3. Don’t invest in a new fund if a previous one of the same category exists: At the time of a new fund’s launch, there is a lot of hype created through advertising aimed at enticing you to invest.

However, there might be a fund of this type already existing, which might be a better option because it has had an operating history for a while, as well as proven risk management experience in that category. You are better off avoiding the new fund at launch and investing in the older fund of the same category.


4. Understand your risk appetite: Not all medicines are suited to all patients. Some patients can handle a higher dosage depending upon their age, their allergies, their size etc.

Similarly, not all mutual funds are meant for everyone. Before you invest blindly, understand the risks involved and evaluate whether you can handle the risks associated with the fund and its underlying exposure.


5. Build a strong foundation: Just like a house needs a strong foundation, so does your mutual fund portfolio. You need to make sure you have a safe and stable exposure to index funds, large cap diversified funds before you start exposing yourself to sector and industry specific funds, which are usually of a higher risk.


6. Be realistic about returns: Trees don’t grow to the sky, and neither do stock market returns. Be realistic about what returns you can expect. Your money is unlikely to double in the next two years through mutual funds, and don’t fall for the salesmanship of your advisor.


7. Give your money the chance to compound: By chopping and changing your portfolio and getting in and out of funds frequently you are disturbing the process of compounding and not giving your money the ability to grow. Be patient, even if in the short term a fund might not be doing well.

Tuesday, July 28, 2009

Mutual Fund Distribuots May Waive Off Brokerage For Samll Investors.

Firms want to avoid handling the low-value cheques they would have to collect if they charge small investors

Some mutual fund distribution companies, which predominantly cater to low-value retail investors, have decided not to charge for their services from customers beginning August. Even larger distributors, which handle a broader variety of clients including high net-worth investors and companies, have decided to keep a no-commission model open for smaller investors.


A July rule from capital markets regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India, or Sebi, does away with entry loads of up to 2.25% for investors and caps at 1% the portion of exit loads used for marketing expenses.
However, the new regulation, effective 1 August, has created a logistical logjam for distributors.
Earlier, the invested amount would go directly to the asset management company, which would deduct the commission and pass it on to the agent. Under the new regulation, if a person invests Rs1,000, distributors will need to collect a cheque of Rs25 as commission separately.
Rather than increase overhead costs by investing in technology, staff and other back-end services, and hoping for the customer to pay for it, some companies have decided to entirely do away with commissions for small, retail investors.
J. Rajagopalan, managing director, Bluechip Corporate Investment Centre Ltd, 90% of whose clientele is retail investors, says, “For a multi-location distribution house like us with 240 locations, managing back-office operations becomes a huge issue. We do not have the infrastructure to manage the flood of low-value cheques that will hit us if we implement the twin-cheque system. Internally, we have decided we will not charge investors from 1 August.”
Also, charging investors under the new environment is not going to be an easy task, said K. Venkitesh, national head (distribution), Geojit BNP Paribas Financial Services Ltd.
“Imagine buying a shirt for Rs600 and giving two cheques, one for the manufacturer for Rs450 and one for the shopkeeper for the remaining amount. This is the same thing. It is not going to be easy to convince the consumer what he is paying for,” he said.
New Delhi-based Bajaj Capital Ltd had also decided to forego a commission for low-value customers. “We don’t like charging the customer. If a person really wants only the transaction services and does not want any advisory or support services, we will not charge,” said joint managing director Sanjiv Bajaj.
However, he added that if a customer wanted services such as consolidated statements, portfolio advice, etc., he would have to pay for it.
Rajagopalan of Bluechip said the trail commission, which agents get from fund houses at the end of the year based on the assets they helped bring in, would help them cover costs of providing services to retail investors.
New distribution companies, however, have already started offering the no-commission model, saying that the new model will, in the long term, work to everyone’s benefit.
Chennai-based Wealth India Financial Services, has launched a free website where investors can buy and sell funds without paying any upfront charges.
“We decided to start a company that would be positioned to take advantage of this development,” said Srikanth Meenakshi, director, Wealth India Financial Services. “We launched FundsIndia.com, where retail investors could come (and) register, become investors and buy or sell mutual funds with no loads, no transaction fees for any amount.”
FundIndia has empanelled with 16 mutual funds and is in talks with more. It plans to have a country-wide online-only network without any regional sales points, a low-cost, scalable model that can be sustained with just the trail commission.
S. Raghunathan, head of Computer Age Management Services Pvt. Ltd, an industry veteran who has been associated with the mutual fund industry for at least three decades, said the new regulation would work out to be a “win-win” situation. “As we reduce distribution costs, more and more people will start gaining confidence and volumes will grow. As volumes grow, everybody can make enough money through the trail commissions.” He cites the example of the demat revolution that changed the face of the brokerage industry 15 years ago.
“When demat was first introduced, people had similar apprehensions. They thought life would become difficult for the brokers. But look at what has happened. Volumes have grown exponentially. I expect a similar result here also,” he said.
However, the no-commission model will not be the only model in operation. Distribution comes at a cost and someone will have to bear the cost if not the consumer, say some distributors.
While there is some expectation that fund houses will fray some of the costs, say experts, there is also the hope that this will lead to innovation in distribution models such as deep discount brokers, discount brokers, premium brokers and full advisories.

Friday, July 10, 2009

The Placebo Effect in Investing | Elliott Wave International

The Placebo Effect in Investing | Elliott Wave International

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With no entry load, MF distributors eye HNIs

With market regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) abolishing 'entry load' for investors from August 1 2009, several distributors have slightly altered plans to include high net-worth individuals (HNIs) in their targets rather than retail investors. With the ban on entry load or commission an investor pays while purchasing units of a mutual fund, the earnings of distributors will take a huge hit, and they would want to compensate for this by targeting HNIs.

According to mutual funds players, this will be the distributor strategy for at least the first few months starting August 1.

Distributors feel HNIs will provide appropriate remuneration for their advice, while it will take few months for retail investors to decipher with their distributor a 'non entry load' fee structure for advice rendered.

Kanwar Vivek, CEO of Birla Sun Life wealth management says, "The move to end the entry load structure is one of the ground-breaking events for the Indian mutual fund (MF) industry. We are planning several strategies that can attract investors after August 1. However, for the first few months, we will be targeting HNIs along with retail investors. We are also preparing what commission we can charge from retail investors, as this step has been taken to help retail investors investing in MF."

Last month, Sebi had banned entry load from August 1 in all the MF schemes. A senior official from one of the leading asset management companies (AMC) said, "This move will have a huge impact on the distributors and independent financial advisor (IFAs). However, we might not see any major New Fund Offer (NFO) in the coming months, due to this ban on entry load. It will take at least a year for things to settle, but in the long term, this can be very helpful for retail investors."

In the month of June, MF assets under management (AUM) stood at Rs 6,70,993.13 crore, a rise of 4.98% or Rs 31,863.31 crore compared to Rs 6,39,129.81 crore in May. Sebi has directed AMCs to carry a suitable 'disclosure' on application forms that upfront commission will be paid by investors directly to the distributors based on their assessment of various factors including the service rendered by the distributor.

On 'exit load' paid by investors, Sebi said that a maximum of 1% will be maintained in a separate account by mutual fund companies to pay commission to the distributors. It directed distributors to disclose all commissions payable to them for different competing schemes of various mutual funds.

Saturday, July 4, 2009

India Funds dominate world top-100 stock funds in Q2

MUMBAI (Reuters) - Fifty one India-focused funds were among the world's top 100 performing stock funds in the quarter to June as domestic shares leapt by nearly half, recording their biggest surge in 17 years, data from fund tracker Lipper showed.

They are led by those investing in shares of infrastructure firms, a favoured theme in Asia's third largest economy after the Congress-lead coalition won a strong mandate in April-May polls raising hopes for higher spending on roads, ports and bridges.

The Lipper's list of 29,942 world stock funds with a track record of at least a quarter showed India funds recording an average 50.45 percent jump in their net values in three months to June as compared to just over 18 percent gain for the fund group.

India funds were led by Naya Bharat Property Company fund, domiciled in the Isle of Man, which gave a return of nearly 135 percent, followed by JM Core 11 Fund, a concentrated 11-stock portfolio, which rose more than 100 percent.

"Stocks in India were spurred on by a steady diet of positive macro data and the strong victory of the incumbent Congress party in national elections mid-May" said Rajeev Baddepudi, a senior research analyst for ASEAN at Lipper.

Indian shares surged 49.3 percent during April-June, the fastest in Asia after Vietnam, on signs of economic recovery and hopes for market-friendly policies by the re-elected Congress-lead government.

The gain was the biggest rise for the benchmark in any quarter since it soared 124.5 percent in January-March in 1992 when Manmohan Singh, the then finance minister, kicked off reforms to open up the economy.


INFRASTRUCTURE

Hopes are high that Manmohan Singh, currently in his second-term as prime minister, would further open up the economy to foreign investment and remove policy bottlenecks.

This has led to sharper surge in shares of infrastructure firms, with capital goods stocks rising nearly twice as fast as the bechmark index in June quarter, lifting portfolio gains for funds primarily investing in the sector.

For instance, all top five Indian funds part of the Lipper's top-100 list are infrastructure or property funds.

Fund houses JM Financial Asset Management and Sundaram BNP Paribas Mutual Fund have four funds each in the list, while Benchmark, India's passive fund manager, DBS Cholamandalam, SBI (SBIN.NS : 1809.65 +50.2) Funds Management and Taurus Mutual Fund had three schemes each.


(For more news on Reuters Money click http://in.reuters.com/money)